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Health ETFs

The Stock Market’s Best Shot? A Fed Promise To Move Slower Than A Three-Toed Sloth

By | Asia ETFs, Biotechnology ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Industrial ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Materials ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Consumers, as opposed to manufacturers, represent two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Indeed, Americans love to splurge. We buy sneakers, iPhones, home furnishings, real estate, cars, jewelry, concert tickets, and meals at our favorite restaurants. We even buy chew toys for our pets. Many of us, however, do not have enough cash saved up to acquire the things that we want when we want them. So we borrow. We satisfy our cravings through instruments of debt – credit cards, mortgages, “refis,”…

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Are You Selling The Drama Or Buying The Rally?

By | Asia ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Mini-crash for equities ignites panic selling? Check. The commodity super-slump, ever-widening credit spreads, corporate sales recession and rapid deterioration in market internals throughout June and July assured a reassessment of risk. The brutality and swiftness of that risk reassessment was less destructive for those who respected the dozens of warning signs and acted proactively. Extremely oversold conditions and short covering spark panic buying? Check. As I explained on Tuesday after six days of relentless price depreciation, the S&P 500 had only…

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5 Reasons To Lower Your Allocation To Riskier Assets

By | Asia ETFs, China ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Health ETFs, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

For months, I have been discussing the likely implications of deteriorating market breadth. For instance, fewer and fewer components are holding up the Dow, the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ. Only a small number of industry sectors are keeping the popular benchmarks in the plus column. Similarly, half of the stocks in the S&P 500 currently demonstrate bearish downtrends. And declining stock issues are significantly pressuring advancing stock issues for the first time since July of 2011. Historically, when a handful…

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Allocation Advice For The Do-It-Yourself Investor

By | Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Financial ETFs, Health ETFs, Industrial ETFs, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Materials ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Technology ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

At the tail end of 2014, individual investors as well as financial web site editors asked me for predictions on a variety of assets heading into 2015. I answered as many folks as I could. I suggested that foreign developed stocks via iShares Currency Hedged EAFE (HEFA) or Vanguard Europe Pacific (VEA) would likely outperform U.S. stocks, due to perceived value, easing of monetary policy and four consecutive years of foreign equity underperformance. (When was the last time that U.S. equities…

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Economic Lethargy Continues To Bankroll The U.S. Stock Bull

By | Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Technology ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Over the past century, the U.S. stock market typically turned down prior to the onset of a recession. You did not need to predict economic contraction; rather, you monitored the Dow and the S&P 500 because the benchmarks acted like leading indicators of bad times ahead. (Investors checked the market internals to get a sense for whether or not stocks themselves might “roll over.”) Stocks demonstrated their predictive powers as recently as October of 2007. The bear market eroded 20%-30%…

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Greece, Puerto Rico, Or China? Debt-Fueled Excesses At The Heart Of Them All

By | Bond ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Lately, I have been fielding a host of “which is worse” questions. Is it the possibility of Greece exiting the euro-zone or is it the potential for Puerto Rico to default on its debt? Is it the 25%-plus bearish retrenchment of China’s Shanghai SSE Composite or is it the likelihood of eventual rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve? In truth, investors erroneously focus on which human interest story, or combination of issues, is/are of greatest importance. However, the root…

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The Risk Of Owning Stock Assets and Holding Stock Assets Right Now

By | Biotechnology ETFs, Bond ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Hold-n-hope advocates believe that greater gains with stocks over investment grade bonds require nothing more than a commitment to accepting increased volatility. In other words, if you accept the occasional craziness of stock prices, then your rewards will be far more robust than lower yielding debt instruments. But is that even accurate? In the 15-year period through 5/31/2015, stocks exhibited 4 times the amount of price vacillation (a.k.a. volatility) than bonds. Yet the S&P 500 SPDR Trust (SPY) provided annualized gains…

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Allocating Assets When the Fed Talks Out Of Both Sides Of Its Mouth

By | Bond ETFs, China ETFs, Currency ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Health ETFs, International ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

One year ago, each of the 17 members of the Federal Reserve provided an expectation of where the fed funds rate would be at the end of 2015. The average came in at 1.1%. That might have required four to five rate hikes this year alone. By March, the expected year-end rate dropped to 0.65%. Perhaps two or three rate increases, then? Nope. Here in mid-June, the average expectation for committee members for the end of the year now registers…

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Rate-Sensitive, Energy-Sensitive Sectors Now Down 10%-Plus

By | Biotechnology ETFs, Bond ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Internet ETFs, Natural Resources ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Technology ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

Bullish borrowers have increased their margin debt to invest in stocks from $445 billion in January to $507 billion today. And why not? The overall price movement for growth sectors of the stock market remains healthy. Flashy sub-segments like cyber-security and biotech continue to soar. For example, I allocated a small portion of moderately aggressive client assets to the Pure Funds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK) in early February. Its series of higher lows since its inception lent credibility to…

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The Debt-Driven Expansion Requires Tweaks To Your Portfolio

By | Bond ETFs, China ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Global ETFs, Health ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

The U.S. government spent $7.50 trillion above the country’s budget over the last six years to encourage economic growth as well as fulfill pre-existing obligations (e.g., defense/military, agriculture, Medicare/health, Social Security, education, transportation, interest on the federal debt, etc.). Yet the economy still only grew at annualized 2.1% in the period – a growth rate that is far lower than the expected average of 3.0%. Similarly, the U.S. Federal Reserve created electronic dollars in the neighborhood of $3.75 trillion, encouraging…

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