Category

Mid Cap ETFs

Cash-To-Debt Ratio Demonstrates Why Riskier Assets Have Limited Upside Potential

By | Bond ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Financial ETFs, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Cash on corporate balance sheets grew at a 1% pace to $1.84 trillion in 2015. That’s a record level of dollars on the books. On the other hand, debt grew at a clip of nearly 14.8% to $6.6 trillion from $5.75 trillion. That’s a 15% surge in debt obligations. In fact, American companies have grown their debt load at a double-digit annualized rate since the economic recovery began in 2009. Doing so has put corporations in a precarious situation – circumstances…

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Why Low Interest Rates Do Not Imply Perpetual Increases In Stock Prices

By | Asia ETFs, Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

Some investors have come to believe that ultra-low interest rates alone have made traditional valuations obsolete. The irony of the error in judgment? Experts and analysts made similar claims prior to the NASDAQ collapse in 2000. (Only then, it was the dot-com “New Economy” that made old school valuations irrelevant.) The benchmark still trades below its nominal highs (and far below its inflation-adjusted highs) from 16 years ago. Without question, exceptionally low borrowing costs helped drive current stock valuations to extraordinary…

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Are U.S. Stocks Really The Only Game In Town?

By | Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Currency ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Industrial ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

The S&P 500 notched an all-time record high of 2130 on May 21, 2015. That was 10 months ago. Since that date, the popular gauge has suffered two faith-rattling corrections – a 12% decline in August of 2015 and a 14% pullback in February of 2016. Granted, U.S. stocks rallied back to respectable levels after each sell-off. On the other hand, the index has yet to make any bull market progress for the better part of a year. Regrettably, news providers have…

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If Investors Get More Stimulus, Will They Take More Risk?

By | Bond ETFs, Currency ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

The U.S. economy continues to show signs of frailty. U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) expanded at a feeble pace of just 0.7% in the 4th quarter. In the same vein, the Atlanta Fed’s GDP forecast for the first quarter of 2016 is just 1.2%. There’s more. The manufacturing segment of the economy has contracted for four consecutive months. Meanwhile, year-over-year growth for total business sales as well as retail have steadily eroded. Also, year-over-year activity for corporate spending on tangible assets…

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Do Historical Comparisons Matter? Strong Similarities Between 1937 And 2015

By | Bond ETFs, Commodity ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Global ETFs, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

The case for the continuation of the U.S. bull market heavily rests on the shoulders of steady economic growth and low interest rates (on an absolute basis). Many believe that, as long as these circumstances exist, stocks will provide venerable results. However, market participants might want to consider a similar period in history – a time span when the 10-year treasury offered paltry yields, gross domestic product (GDP) grew at a reasonable clip and the Federal Reserve tightened monetary policy….

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Asset Class Update: Is Diversification Still A Free Lunch?

By | Biotechnology ETFs, Bond ETFs, China ETFs, Commodity ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Currency ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Defense & Aerospace ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Financial ETFs, Frontier Market ETFs, Global ETFs, Industrial ETFs, International ETFs, Internet ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Retail ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

According to Barry Ritholtz of Ritholtz Wealth Management, a frequent contributor to CNBC as well as Bloomberg, “the beauty of diversification is that it’s about as close as you can get to a free lunch in investing.” Since 2011, however, investors who diversified in stocks outside of the U.S. and who diversified across other asset types (e.g., commodities, currencies, gold, pipeline partnerships, etc.) have consistently underperformed the plain vanilla approach of owning the S&P 500 SPDR Trust (SPY) alongside a modest…

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Why The S&P 500 Is Likely To Revisit The Correction Lows Near 1870

By | Asia ETFs, Biotechnology ETFs, Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

In Selling The Drama Or Buying The Rally (8/27), I delineated the way in which 10%-plus price corrections had unfolded under similar circumstances in history (e.g., 1998, 2010, 2011, etc.). Specifically, when the prospects for the global economy are deteriorating, U.S. stock benchmarks typically reclaim about one-half of their losses on “hope rallies.” Afterwards, they retest their lows. The most recent example of the price movement phenomenon is the euro-zone crisis. In late July/early August of 2011, the S&P 500 SPDR Trust…

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How To Invest When You’re Living In The Twilight Zone

By | Bond ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, Health ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Workers have jobs. The headline unemployment rate at 5.1% proves it, right? Yet the percentage of working-aged folks in the labor force at 62.6% represents the lowest employment rate since the late 1970s. Equally troubling? Wages/salaries rose a mere 0.2% in the second quarter. That was the smallest increase since data on wages have been kept. In fact, when adjusted for inflation, median household income has actually dropped since the Great Recession ended in June of 2009, from roughly $55,000…

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The Stock Market’s Best Shot? A Fed Promise To Move Slower Than A Three-Toed Sloth

By | Asia ETFs, Biotechnology ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Industrial ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Materials ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Consumers, as opposed to manufacturers, represent two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Indeed, Americans love to splurge. We buy sneakers, iPhones, home furnishings, real estate, cars, jewelry, concert tickets, and meals at our favorite restaurants. We even buy chew toys for our pets. Many of us, however, do not have enough cash saved up to acquire the things that we want when we want them. So we borrow. We satisfy our cravings through instruments of debt – credit cards, mortgages, “refis,”…

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Are You Selling The Drama Or Buying The Rally?

By | Asia ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Mini-crash for equities ignites panic selling? Check. The commodity super-slump, ever-widening credit spreads, corporate sales recession and rapid deterioration in market internals throughout June and July assured a reassessment of risk. The brutality and swiftness of that risk reassessment was less destructive for those who respected the dozens of warning signs and acted proactively. Extremely oversold conditions and short covering spark panic buying? Check. As I explained on Tuesday after six days of relentless price depreciation, the S&P 500 had only…

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