Category

Real Estate ETFs

Threat Assessment: Perils Are Pointing To The Possibility Of Heartbreaking Losses

By | Current Affairs and ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Popular Posts, Real Estate ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Stocks rocketed to all-time highs between October 1990 and March of 2000 to register the longest bull market ever (9 years, 5 months). No matter how ridiculous the price-per-stock share – no matter the mindlessness associated with owning U.S. tech stocks at 65 times trailing profits (rather than 15) – the popular view had been that the Internet’s “New Economy” had changed the rules of the game. Unfortunately, it hadn’t. The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) gave up 80% of its…

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What Is The Most Opportunistic Asset Class Right Now?

By | Bond ETFs, Currency ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Financial ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Materials ETFs, Natural Resources ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Are the new all-time highs in U.S. large cap stocks as big a deal as the media would have you believe? On a year-over-year basis, other asset classes have been more impressive. Bonds via Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND), gold via SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and the “risk-off” Japanese yen via Currency Shares Yen Trust (FXY) have all outperformed the S&P 500 SPDR Trust (SPY). Vanguard REIT ETF (VNQ) that captures a wide range of real estate investment trusts has…

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Are The Tailwinds For Stocks Turning Into Tornadoes?

By | Bond ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Recently, I was speaking with one of the co-founders of the popular exchange-traded fund web site, ETF Database. He wanted to get my thoughts about the problems with “buy-n-hold.” I did not hesitate to give him an earful. Rather than chronicle my conversation in its entirety, or reiterate my commentary from dozens of previous articles on the topic, readers may wish to contemplate the risk of holding onto a permanent portfolio at this moment. Indeed, the risk of hold-n-hope at…

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Singer Meghan Trainor Knows, It’s All About That Central Bank Stimulus

By | Asia ETFs, Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Defense & Aerospace ETFs, Dividend ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, Telecom ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Nearly one-third of S&P 500 corporations have reported earnings and revenue from the third quarter. With 147 companies chiming in, profits are down -0.6% and sales are down -2.7% from a year earlier. One might have thought that several quarters of contraction in earnings and revenue (a.k.a. an “earnings recession” and a “revenue recession”) might have weakened stocks. After all, if robust sales and hearty profits are the primary drivers behind price appreciation for companies in the Dow and the…

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When Market Breadth Stinks, Cash Is The Mouthwash

By | Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Large Cap ETFs, Materials ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Retail ETFs, Technology ETFs, Telecom ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

Perma-bulls on the major networks routinely gloss over the reduction in stock market breadth. For example, 60% of the Dow 30 components currently sit below long-term moving averages. When companies like Coca-Cola, Wal-Mart, DuPont, Intel and Verizon are simultaneously suffering from rally fatigue, one might anticipate an eventual breakdown in the gravity-defying direction of popular benchmarks like the Dow and the S&P 500. It is not just companies in the Dow that are struggling. Most of the individual sector investments…

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Rate-Sensitive, Energy-Sensitive Sectors Now Down 10%-Plus

By | Biotechnology ETFs, Bond ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Internet ETFs, Natural Resources ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Technology ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

Bullish borrowers have increased their margin debt to invest in stocks from $445 billion in January to $507 billion today. And why not? The overall price movement for growth sectors of the stock market remains healthy. Flashy sub-segments like cyber-security and biotech continue to soar. For example, I allocated a small portion of moderately aggressive client assets to the Pure Funds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK) in early February. Its series of higher lows since its inception lent credibility to…

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Are Rate-Sensitive ETFs Suggesting Economic Weakness Ahead?

By | Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Strategy, Real Estate ETFs, US Markets and ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

Lost in the bull market euphoria is the reality that economists have been dead wrong about the direction of asset prices, particularly bond prices. Last December, when 55 of the most prestigious economists across a wide range of institutions had been polled by Bloomberg about where the 10-year yield (3.0%) would end the year, each of the 55 professionals anticipated higher rates. The average of those estimates? 3.41%. And yet, the 10-year will finish the year closer to 2.25%. That…

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Is The S&P 500 Now Safer Than A Diversified Portfolio?

By | Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Both the media and a wide array of financial advisers preach owning a diversified portfolio. Below, I have created a hypothetical asset mix that a moderate growth investor might employ: 30% iShares S&P 500 (IVV) 25% Vanguard Total Bond (BND) 12.5% iShares MSCI EAFE (EFA) 7.5% SPDR S&P Mid-Cap 400 (MDY) 5% SPDR High Yield (JNK) 5% Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV) 5% Vanguard Emerging Markets (VWO) 5% iShares Russell 2000 Small Cap (IWM) 2.5% Vanguard REIT (VNQ) 2.5% iShares TIPS…

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These 5 ETF Charts Are Killing “Risk-On” Exhilaration

By | Asia ETFs, China ETFs, Commodity ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Financial ETFs, International ETFs, Latin America ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Retail ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Admit it. You are feeling a little bit edgy these days. While you understand that fear is the elixir of investment opportunity, you also recognize that there is little glory for the last person standing on a sinking aircraft carrier. Most in the media have been touting bull market accomplishments, job gains and economic progress. Writers regularly highlight the monster percentage gains that U.S. stocks have enjoyed since the lows hit in March of 2009 rather than discuss the reality…

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Home Sales Data Incinerate Confidence In Economically Sensitive Stock ETFs

By | Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Financial ETFs, Materials ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | One Comment

My wife and I sold two condominiums near the tail end of 2005. We could not justify owning residences that were 40% more expensive to own than to rent. Simply put, it was time to cash in. Due largely to my comfort with the liquidity of market-based securities, I did not wade back into the real estate investment waters until 2012. I purchased a mixed-use property in a short sale. And today, I operate Pacific Park Financial, Inc. – a…

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