Category

Retail ETFs

Bull Market, Bear Market or Barely Moving Market?

By | Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Financial ETFs, Health ETFs, Internet ETFs, Materials ETFs, Natural Resources ETFs, Retail ETFs, Semiconductor ETFs, Technology ETFs, Telecom ETFs, Transportation ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

Perma-bulls may note that the S&P 500 eked out a 0.4% gain in the first quarter of 2015. They may also choose to ignore warning signs such as the 5th consecutive month of decelerating economic activity in the manufacturing segment. The last time that this happened? 2008. A quick check of the individual sectors that make up the overall market demonstrates that an increasing number of them are losing ground rather than gaining it. For example, the transporters in the…

Read More

Why Overvalued Stock ETFs Still Offer Opportunity

By | Asia ETFs, Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Industrial ETFs, Retail ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Let us recall that every significant economist and every major U.S. investment firm predicted interest rates would climb in 2014. The primary basis for the assessment? U.S. economic growth would accelerate and encourage the Federal Reserve to end ultra-easy monetary measures. Well, now that we’ve seen a so-called acceleration in the second quarter – now that many have thoroughly dismissed the “picking up of slack” for first quarter economic contraction – the same analysts are scrambling to explain why intermediate-…

Read More

These 5 ETF Charts Are Killing “Risk-On” Exhilaration

By | Asia ETFs, China ETFs, Commodity ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Financial ETFs, International ETFs, Latin America ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Retail ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Admit it. You are feeling a little bit edgy these days. While you understand that fear is the elixir of investment opportunity, you also recognize that there is little glory for the last person standing on a sinking aircraft carrier. Most in the media have been touting bull market accomplishments, job gains and economic progress. Writers regularly highlight the monster percentage gains that U.S. stocks have enjoyed since the lows hit in March of 2009 rather than discuss the reality…

Read More

Sector ETFs In 2014 And 2007: The Inconvenient Comparison Feels Like A Bone In The Throat

By | Bond ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Financial ETFs, Health ETFs, Internet ETFs, Materials ETFs, Real Estate ETFs, Retail ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Telecom ETFs, US Markets and ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

The S&P 500 has served up a 7%-plus return through the first six-and-a-half months of the year. That’s remarkably impressive when one considers the depth of geopolitical conflict, the implication of structural under-employment, the October end of quantitative easing (QE3) and the strong possibility of a significant change to the legislative branch this November. Naturally, some investment sectors of the economy have outperformed others. Here’s a peek at the 2014 year-to-date results: Sector ETF Performance (1/1-7/21) in 2014    …

Read More

Why U.S. Small Company ETFs Are Losing Their Way

By | Biotechnology ETFs, Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Internet ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Retail ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

There has been a great deal of talk about the housing recovery. Sales of existing homes steadily rose between mid-2011 and mid-2013 on the back of a weak U.S. dollar and an increase in the money supply. Indeed, Federal Reserve monetary policy had stimulated demand for U.S. stocks as well as U.S. real estate. Yet from the moment the Fed announced its intention to pull back on its unconventional program of creating electronic dollars to buy U.S. bonds, property sales…

Read More

Are Record Levels Of Consumer Credit Dangerous To Your ETF Portfolio?

By | Alt Energy ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Financial ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Retail ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Technology was the best performing sector in the five years prior to the 2000-2002 stock market bear. The acceleration of dot-com mania created a boom-to-bust scenario that few had ever seen. Yet “tech” actually weakened before other segments of the economy. What’s more, corporate shares of technology companies witnessed far more violent sell-offs than stock shares of other sectors. Financial corporations led the bull market advance in the five years prior to the 2007-2009 collapse. Questionable underwriting practices fueled a…

Read More

3 “Risk-Off” Signs For ETF Investors

By | Consumer ETFs, Currency ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Real Estate ETFs, Retail ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Committee members of the U.S. Federal Reserve forecast economic growth every year. Not surprisingly, investors place a great deal of faith in those projections. After all, Fed estimates may impact monetary policy. Estimates for each of the last five years turned out to be exceedingly rosy. Time and again, the “recovery” turned out to be sluggish rather than robust. Granted, the Federal Reserve’s actions succeeded in suppressing interest rates, and ultra-low rates have contributed handsomely to corporate refinancing. Some might…

Read More

Buy “Value ETFs” Here, Buy “Growth ETFs” Over There

By | Asia ETFs, Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, International ETFs, Internet ETFs, Retail ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Home Depot, Target, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Staples, PetSmart, Sears, Lowe’s, Walmart. What do all of these companies have in common? They sell products to the middle class. Lately, however, these retailers have not been selling a whole of their wares to middle class consumers.  Not only did they reveal disappointing top-line revenue numbers in the first quarter, sales weakness has been evident in April and May as well. Conventional writers in the financial media have been blaming lower-than-anticipated sales on…

Read More

The Great ETF Rotation Is Accelerating

By | Asia ETFs, Biotechnology ETFs, Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, International ETFs, Internet ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Retail ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs | No Comments

Back on April 9, I talked about a “Great Rotation” away from momentum plays (e.g., biotech, Internet, small-cap growth, etc.). Where did the smart money go? Demand had been picking up for the least popular asset classes from 2013, including long-dated treasuries, select emerging markets as well as commodities. Five trading weeks have passed since I began discussing the likelihood of a major shift. Did enough investors buy the dips in former high-flyers to push their prices back up? Conversely,…

Read More

ETF Moves You Can Make Before The Crowd Gets Restless

By | Biotechnology ETFs, Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Health ETFs, Industrial ETFs, International ETFs, Internet ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Retail ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Nobody can tell you when a 10% stock market pullback is imminent. That has not stopped many from issuing erroneous prognostications over the last 31 months. By the same token, no individual can predict when a correction will morph into a 20% bearish sell-off. Yet Marc Faber (“Dr. Doom”) has routinely served up enormously frightful comments in a perpetually compliant media. While it may be impossible to forecast with certainty, it is possible to increase one’s chances of success. One…

Read More