Category

Transportation ETFs

What Lessons Will Dow 20,000 Teach You?

By | Bond ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Special Sectors ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

TrimTabs, a premier research provider to the institutional investment community, recently identified three troublesome aspects of current bullishness in stocks. First, the dollar value of U.S. stock buyback announcements has registered a five-year low. That’s problematic because corporate acquisition of stock shares has been one of the primary drivers of price gains during the current bull run. Second, according to the chief executive officer at TrimTabs, David Santschi, the pace of insider buying dwindled to its slowest pace in five…

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Financial Stress Index Is Screaming, “Bear Market Rally”

By | Bond ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

What if investors had a way to determine the extent of “stress” in the financial system? And what if those stress levels could tell investors whether or not riskier assets (e.g., stocks, higher-yielding debt, etc.) can succeed without definitive U.S. Federal Reserve intervention? Consider the Cleveland Financial Stress Index (CFSI). The CFSI monitors the well-being of a wide range of financial markets, including credit, equity, foreign exchange, funding, real estate and securitization. According to the Cleveland Fed, a CFSI reading greater than…

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U.S. Stocks In 2016? Keep An Eye On The Global Economy

By | Asia ETFs, Bond ETFs, China ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Global ETFs, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Technology ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

During the previous bull market (10/02-10/07), financial media fawned over the critical importance of diversifying one’s equity exposure across the globe. And why not? Performance for foreign exchange-traded trackers like iShares MSCI EAFE (EFA) and iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM) far surpassed anything the S&P 500 could muster up; developed international markets doubled U.S. capital appreciation while emerging economies catapulted 350%! Indeed, when I spoke at conferences 10 years ago, attendees rarely inquired about companies listed on the NASDAQ or…

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A Stock Market Breather Before a Big-Time Bullish Breakout? Not Bloody Likely

By | Asia ETFs, Bond ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Global ETFs, Industrial ETFs, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Natural Resources ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

It is unsettling to deal with the probability that we are closer to a bearish decline in stocks than a bullish reboot. Investment account values will wane. Household net worth will diminish. And when stock prices near their lowest ebb, the typical investor will decide that buying is impractical. However, if one prepares for inevitable depreciation in overvalued asset prices, buying low becomes less intimidating. For example, in spite of the exceptionally poor rap that trend-following techniques receive from the…

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Risk Asset Update: Vast Majority Agonize Since The S&P 500’s August Lows

By | Actively Managed ETFs, Asia ETFs, Bond ETFs, Commodity ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Global ETFs, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Natural Resources ETFs, Retail ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Weren’t lower oil prices supposed to act like a “tax cut” for U.S. households? If families spend less at the gas pump, then they will spend more of their dollars at the mall. At least that’s what mainstream media cheerleaders like CNBC’s Jim Cramer have insisted throughout the year. In contrast, the S&P SPDR Retail Index (XRT) demonstrates that investors are not particularly impressed by the prospects of American retailers. The current price for the exchange-traded fund tracker is lower…

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The Stock Market’s Best Shot? A Fed Promise To Move Slower Than A Three-Toed Sloth

By | Asia ETFs, Biotechnology ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Dividend ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Health ETFs, Industrial ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Materials ETFs, Mid Cap ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

Consumers, as opposed to manufacturers, represent two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Indeed, Americans love to splurge. We buy sneakers, iPhones, home furnishings, real estate, cars, jewelry, concert tickets, and meals at our favorite restaurants. We even buy chew toys for our pets. Many of us, however, do not have enough cash saved up to acquire the things that we want when we want them. So we borrow. We satisfy our cravings through instruments of debt – credit cards, mortgages, “refis,”…

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There’s Still Time To Lower Your Exposure To Riskier ETFs

By | Asia ETFs, Bond ETFs, China ETFs, Commodity ETFs, Consumer ETFs, Currency ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Industrial ETFs, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Special Sectors ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

A fair number of commenters, callers and perma-bulls were relatively tough on me in May when I suggested a strategic decision to raise cash levels. They were even tougher on me when I mentioned the possibility of picking up safer havens like intermediate treasuries via iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond (IEF) and intermediate-to-long duration municipal bonds via BlackRock Muni Assets Fund (MUA). There’s no doubt about it… I was early on the call. Yet the idea behind raising cash as well…

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Remember July 2011? The Stock Market’s Advance-Decline (A/D) Line Remembers

By | Asia ETFs, Commodity ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Industrial ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Retail ETFs, Technology ETFs, Telecom ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

According to Bloomberg data, the modest year-to-date increase in the S&P 500 is attributable to health care and retail alone. Worse yet, the two industry segments trade at a 20% premium to the market at large. Paying a premium for growth is one thing. Chasing a handful of momentum stocks is another. Brokerage firm Jones Trading sharpened the knife even further, noting that six corporations account for more than the entirety of the meager 2015 gains in the S&P 500. Those…

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Allocation Advice For The Do-It-Yourself Investor

By | Consumer ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, Emerging Market ETFs, Energy ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Europe ETFs, Financial ETFs, Health ETFs, Industrial ETFs, International ETFs, Large Cap ETFs, Materials ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Technology ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs, Utilities ETFs | No Comments

At the tail end of 2014, individual investors as well as financial web site editors asked me for predictions on a variety of assets heading into 2015. I answered as many folks as I could. I suggested that foreign developed stocks via iShares Currency Hedged EAFE (HEFA) or Vanguard Europe Pacific (VEA) would likely outperform U.S. stocks, due to perceived value, easing of monetary policy and four consecutive years of foreign equity underperformance. (When was the last time that U.S. equities…

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Weak Wages and Weaker Manufacturing, But How ‘Bout Those Rate Hike Expectations!

By | Currency ETFs, Current Affairs and ETFs, ETF Philosophy, ETF Strategy, Industrial ETFs, Transportation ETFs, US Markets and ETFs | No Comments

I started working at the age of 13. I wanted to be productive. I wanted to make money. Gardener, golf caddy, food deliverer, waiter, bartender, entrepreneur, researcher, analyst, writer, planner, adviser, money manager – I probably spent as much time cursing and complaining as I did whistling. Nevertheless, thirty five years of work contributed to my well-being as well as the well-being of others. Will people from my generation (“Gen X”) leave the workforce anytime soon? Not if we intend…

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