Is Unemployment Really 19%? Your Tactical Asset Allocation Should Reflect Economic Reality

09 February 2016 at 11:40 am by Gary Gordon

Several weeks ago, a comment provider ripped into me for being a left-wing nut job. What did I do to draw his ire?  I explained that the tapering of QE3 and the 0.25% rate hike bump – modest stimulus removal efforts on the surface – adversely impacted everything from currencies to commodities, sovereign credit to corporate [...] Continue Reading...

February 7, 2016 – ETF Expert Radio Podcast

07 February 2016 at 8:00 am by Staff

ETFs & Market Internals, ETFs & a Weakening Economy, Mid Cap ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Global ETFs, Emerging Markets ETFs, ETFs & Yield Spreads, Treasury Bond ETFs, The MASH Index & ETFs Click here to listen to the show: 2-7-2016 Continue Reading...

How Long Will “Risk-Off” Sectors Outperform Riskier Stock and Bond Segments?

04 February 2016 at 2:14 pm by Gary Gordon

Some stock sectors thrive when an economic recovery gains traction. Industrials tend to perform well due to increases in the demand for capital goods. In a similar vein, consumer discretionary companies spike alongside improvements in employment data, where people spend more of the money they make. One can visualize the above-described outperformance of cyclical sectors by charting corresponding ETFs [...] Continue Reading...

If Investors Get More Stimulus, Will They Take More Risk?

02 February 2016 at 10:54 am by Gary Gordon

The U.S. economy continues to show signs of frailty. U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) expanded at a feeble pace of just 0.7% in the 4th quarter. In the same vein, the Atlanta Fed’s GDP forecast for the first quarter of 2016 is just 1.2%. There’s more. The manufacturing segment of the economy has contracted for four [...] Continue Reading...

January 31, 2016 – ETF Expert Radio Podcast

31 January 2016 at 8:00 am by Staff

ETFs & Bear Markets, Recessions & ETFs, Energy ETFs, Muni Bond ETFs, Minimum Volatility ETFs, ETF Allocations, Treasury Bond ETFs, ETFs & The MASH Index Click here to listen to the show: 1-31-2016 Continue Reading...

Allocation Strategy During The Corporate Debt Hangover

28 January 2016 at 2:09 pm by Gary Gordon

Are corporations in great shape? Three consecutive quarters of declines in earnings suggest that they are not. Worse yet, record high leverage coupled with close-to-record low interest coverage indicate stress within corporate balance sheets. Beginning with the “profit recession,” it has become fashionable to describe the deterioration as a function of the price collapse in [...] Continue Reading...

5 Huge Misunderstandings About The Current Investing Environment

26 January 2016 at 11:45 am by Gary Gordon

Over the weekend, the Denver Broncos beat the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship. Popular football analysts had – across the board, it seemed – believed the Patriots were a “shoe-in.” They were wrong. Peyton Manning could still throw deep passes to score touchdowns. And Denver’s defense rattled Tom Brady on nearly every Patriot possession. [...] Continue Reading...

January 24, 2016 – ETF Expert Radio Podcast

24 January 2016 at 8:00 am by Staff

ETFs & Debt Levels, Interest Rates & ETFs, Oil ETFs, Gold ETFs, ETFs & Yield Spreads, The Fed & ETFs, ETFs & US GDP Growth, MASH Index ETFs Click here to listen to the show: 1-24-2016 Continue Reading...

ETF Relationships That May Tell You When The Worst Is Over

22 January 2016 at 2:54 pm by Gary Gordon

Businesses, consumers and the federal government have taken on enormous amounts of debt since the Great Recession. Optimists argue that total debt is irrelevant; that is, they believe the only thing that matters is the cost of servicing those debts. Fair enough. Then what happens when interest expense does rise? Assuming total debt remains the [...] Continue Reading...

Why Good News And Bad News Are Not Helping Stocks Anymore

20 January 2016 at 9:26 am by Gary Gordon

Since the Great Recession’s inception, whenever the stock market dropped like a steel anvil or the U.S. economy showed signs of weakness, the Federal Reserve acted to inspire investor confidence. For example, in November of 2008, when the Fed announced its first quantitative easing (QE1) program to buy mortgage-backed securities (MBS), stocks rocketed 10% in [...] Continue Reading...

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