Is A Recession Necessary For The S&P 500 To Fall 20% From All-Time Highs?

01 September 2015 at 5:57 pm by Gary Gordon

Is it possible for a bear market to occur when the U.S. economy is expanding? Certainly. In fact, most bear markets are already well on their way to becoming 20% price declines long before a recession is formerly identified. Consider the most recent bearish retreat (10/07 – 3/09). The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) [...] Continue Reading...


August 30, 2015 – ETF Expert Radio Podcast

30 August 2015 at 8:00 am by Staff

ETFs & the Market Correction, The Fed & ETFs, China & ETFs, Commodities & ETFs, ETF Strategies for the Current Market, ETFs & Global Economic Contraction Click here to listen to the show: 8-30-2015 Continue Reading...


Are You Selling The Drama Or Buying The Rally?

27 August 2015 at 2:20 pm by Gary Gordon

Mini-crash for equities ignites panic selling? Check. The commodity super-slump, ever-widening credit spreads, corporate sales recession and rapid deterioration in market internals throughout June and July assured a reassessment of risk. The brutality and swiftness of that risk reassessment was less destructive for those who respected the dozens of warning signs and acted proactively. Extremely oversold [...] Continue Reading...


Do Not Blame China For Your Missed Opportunity To Reduce Risk

25 August 2015 at 3:56 pm by Gary Gordon

Some are crediting me with calling the 6-day mini-crash. On the contrary. When I wrote “15 Warning Signs Of A Market Top” on August 18, the intent was to discuss micro-economic (corporate), macro-economic, fundamental and technical reasons for reducing one’s overall allocation to riskier assets. I did not predict the epic fall from grace for [...] Continue Reading...


This Is What Happens When The Fed Tries To Leave ‘QE’

20 August 2015 at 3:52 pm by Gary Gordon

Back on October 29, 2014, the Federal Reserve ended its largest round of quantitative easing (QE3/QE4). The unconventional policy of buying market-based assets with electronically created credits (dollars) first began in late November of 2008. Since that time, $3.75 trillion in stimulus forced interest rates downward and sent stock prices soaring. The S&P 500 moved from [...] Continue Reading...


A Market Top? 15 Warning Signs

18 August 2015 at 3:28 pm by Gary Gordon

Stocks are tumbling in Russia, Brazil, Chile, South Africa, Australia and Canada due to economic weakness in China. Meanwhile, the Vanguard Europe ETF (VGK) remains roughly 5.5% off of its May high, as the feel-good effect of $1.3 trillion in European Central Bank stimulus subsides. In truth, risk assets from across the spectrum are fading. Exchange-traded [...] Continue Reading...


August 16, 2015 – ETF Expert Radio Podcast

16 August 2015 at 8:00 am by Staff

Commodities ETFs, High Yield Bond ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Emerging Markets ETFs, ETFs & Debt Levels, Transportation ETFs, Industrials ETFs, ETFs & Stock Valuations Click here to listen to the show: 8-16-2015 Continue Reading...


Canaries In The Investment Mine Have Stopped Serenading

13 August 2015 at 11:29 am by Gary Gordon

Eleven months ago, I talked about four classic canaries in the investment mines: (1) commodities, (2) high yield bonds, (3) small-cap stocks, (4) emerging market stocks. I explained that when all four of those canaries stop singing, riskier ETFs usually break down. Indeed, in September of 2014, commodities were tanking, high-yield bonds were plunging, small-cap [...] Continue Reading...


There’s Still Time To Lower Your Exposure To Riskier ETFs

11 August 2015 at 11:57 am by Gary Gordon

A fair number of commenters, callers and perma-bulls were relatively tough on me in May when I suggested a strategic decision to raise cash levels. They were even tougher on me when I mentioned the possibility of picking up safer havens like intermediate treasuries via iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond (IEF) and intermediate-to-long duration municipal [...] Continue Reading...


August 9, 2015 – ETF Expert Radio Podcast

09 August 2015 at 8:00 am by Staff

ETFs & AAPL, Market Timing & ETFs, ETFs & Narrowing Market Breadth, Yield Spreads & ETFs, ETFs & Wage Growth, Employment & ETFs, ETFs & Commodities Click here to listen to the show: 8-9-2015 Continue Reading...


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