The Stock Market’s Best Shot? A Fed Promise To Move Slower Than A Three-Toed Sloth

03 September 2015 at 4:05 pm by Gary Gordon

Consumers, as opposed to manufacturers, represent two-thirds of the U.S. economy. Indeed, Americans love to splurge. We buy sneakers, iPhones, home furnishings, real estate, cars, jewelry, concert tickets, and meals at our favorite restaurants. We even buy chew toys for our pets. Many of us, however, do not have enough cash saved up to acquire [...] Continue Reading...

Is A Recession Necessary For The S&P 500 To Fall 20% From All-Time Highs?

01 September 2015 at 5:57 pm by Gary Gordon

Is it possible for a bear market to occur when the U.S. economy is expanding? Certainly. In fact, most bear markets are already well on their way to becoming 20% price declines long before a recession is formerly identified. Consider the most recent bearish retreat (10/07 – 3/09). The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) [...] Continue Reading...

August 30, 2015 – ETF Expert Radio Podcast

30 August 2015 at 8:00 am by Staff

ETFs & the Market Correction, The Fed & ETFs, China & ETFs, Commodities & ETFs, ETF Strategies for the Current Market, ETFs & Global Economic Contraction Click here to listen to the show: 8-30-2015 Continue Reading...

Are You Selling The Drama Or Buying The Rally?

27 August 2015 at 2:20 pm by Gary Gordon

Mini-crash for equities ignites panic selling? Check. The commodity super-slump, ever-widening credit spreads, corporate sales recession and rapid deterioration in market internals throughout June and July assured a reassessment of risk. The brutality and swiftness of that risk reassessment was less destructive for those who respected the dozens of warning signs and acted proactively. Extremely oversold [...] Continue Reading...

Do Not Blame China For Your Missed Opportunity To Reduce Risk

25 August 2015 at 3:56 pm by Gary Gordon

Some are crediting me with calling the 6-day mini-crash. On the contrary. When I wrote “15 Warning Signs Of A Market Top” on August 18, the intent was to discuss micro-economic (corporate), macro-economic, fundamental and technical reasons for reducing one’s overall allocation to riskier assets. I did not predict the epic fall from grace for [...] Continue Reading...

This Is What Happens When The Fed Tries To Leave ‘QE’

20 August 2015 at 3:52 pm by Gary Gordon

Back on October 29, 2014, the Federal Reserve ended its largest round of quantitative easing (QE3/QE4). The unconventional policy of buying market-based assets with electronically created credits (dollars) first began in late November of 2008. Since that time, $3.75 trillion in stimulus forced interest rates downward and sent stock prices soaring. The S&P 500 moved from [...] Continue Reading...

A Market Top? 15 Warning Signs

18 August 2015 at 3:28 pm by Gary Gordon

Stocks are tumbling in Russia, Brazil, Chile, South Africa, Australia and Canada due to economic weakness in China. Meanwhile, the Vanguard Europe ETF (VGK) remains roughly 5.5% off of its May high, as the feel-good effect of $1.3 trillion in European Central Bank stimulus subsides. In truth, risk assets from across the spectrum are fading. Exchange-traded [...] Continue Reading...

August 16, 2015 – ETF Expert Radio Podcast

16 August 2015 at 8:00 am by Staff

Commodities ETFs, High Yield Bond ETFs, Small Cap ETFs, Emerging Markets ETFs, ETFs & Debt Levels, Transportation ETFs, Industrials ETFs, ETFs & Stock Valuations Click here to listen to the show: 8-16-2015 Continue Reading...

Canaries In The Investment Mine Have Stopped Serenading

13 August 2015 at 11:29 am by Gary Gordon

Eleven months ago, I talked about four classic canaries in the investment mines: (1) commodities, (2) high yield bonds, (3) small-cap stocks, (4) emerging market stocks. I explained that when all four of those canaries stop singing, riskier ETFs usually break down. Indeed, in September of 2014, commodities were tanking, high-yield bonds were plunging, small-cap [...] Continue Reading...

There’s Still Time To Lower Your Exposure To Riskier ETFs

11 August 2015 at 11:57 am by Gary Gordon

A fair number of commenters, callers and perma-bulls were relatively tough on me in May when I suggested a strategic decision to raise cash levels. They were even tougher on me when I mentioned the possibility of picking up safer havens like intermediate treasuries via iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond (IEF) and intermediate-to-long duration municipal [...] Continue Reading...

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