ETF Expert: Should You Invest In iShares South Korea (EWY)?
06 July 2009 at 2:25 pm by Gary Gordon
It wasn't that long ago when pundits across the media landscape touted South Korea as one of the most attractive foreign markets. After all, you had Warren Buffett intrigued with steelmaker Posco. And the bull market gains for iShares MSCI South Korea (EWY) over 6 years (October 2001-October 2007) approximated 500%!
Yet the 2008-2009 bear erased the bulk of buy-n-holder profits, many of whom hadn't discovered Korean stocks until 2004 or 2005. And by March of 2009, the 70% top-to-bottom nose-dive was epic.
Right now, though, many believe that things have brightened substantially for SK. Not only is iShares MSCI South Korea (EWY) up more than 25% YTD, but it has also managed to keep its "emerging market" status a little longer. Believe it or not, this gives the relatively mature market the opportunity to attract the "hotter" emerging market investor dollars.
Today, you also have Dr. Doom, Marc Faber, one of the more prominent bears on the Street, stating that South Korean stocks are the place to reinvest long-term. Mr. Faber stated that he didn't believe Korean stocks would revisit March lows. And he believes stock assets of the "East" will significantly outperform the "West."
Tom Lydon of ETF Trends noted that iShares South Korea (EWY) has an 18% weighting in Samsung, and that Samsung is on an expectations-exceeding path. Similarly, South Korea's 2% interest rates may have helped it dodge a full-blown recession. The Bank of Korea has hinted at raising rates in Q4, which gives many the impression that the country is back on a growth track.
Finally, the charts seem to favor a South Korean renaissance. The 50-day moving average recently rose above the 200-day, and the current share price of EWY is above both trendlines.
If there's one, fairly sizable wrench in the spokes, it'd be the neighbors. North Korea's been firing off missiles with callous disregard and tensions have been escalating.
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