In 1986, I visited the Philippine Stock Exchange. There were few, if any, computers on the floor. Black markers registered trading activity on a giant whiteboard. And the feeling that I came away with was that I had caught a glimpse of an incomplete science experiment. Today, however, a number of frontier economies have upped their [...] Continue Reading...
“I’ve never seen THIS in 34 years of investing,” quipped media personality Jim Cramer on Monday. What was Mr. Cramer referring to? For the most part, he expressed excitement over the stock market’s ability to reward stocks of companies that missed earnings expectations as well as to reward those that beat expectations by not taking [...] Continue Reading...
On Wednesday, 5/8/2013, U.S. stocks recorded gains for a 5th consecutive session. In fact, the S&P 500 logged its 12th gain in 14 trading days, rising 6% since a mid-April hiccup and reaching yet another all-time peak. Equally intriguing, the last week has witnessed a renewed interest in foreign equities. In spite of a deepening recession [...] Continue Reading...
Daisy Maxey is a talented financial columnist for WSJ.com. Ms. Maxey also follows me on Twitter. Not surprisingly, then, I may be slightly hesitant to question the timing of her recent feature, “Frontier Market Funds Offer Promise, Risk.” By the percentages, Ms Maxey cites data that is supposed to represent opportunity in the least developed countries [...] Continue Reading...
Half of the largest U.S. corporations are missing revenue targets this earnings season. Non-cyclical sectors from health care to consumer staples are beating the pants of economic growth standouts like technology and energy. Trading volume is noticeably larger on down days than on up days. Treasury bonds are notching new 2013 peaks on safe-haven purchasing. [...] Continue Reading...
There are moments in time when I get tired of hammering on a theme. For example, on April 1, I penned the article, Selecting Safer Growth and Income ETFs for the 2nd Quarter Pullback. The commentary made the simple case for shifting to sectors that do not exhibit a great deal of economic cyclicality. After [...] Continue Reading...
Wayne Lin manages money at Baltimore-based Legg Mason Inc. In a phone interview with the folks at Bloomberg, he explained that many investors have been surprised by the significant under-performance of emerging market equities in the global “risk-on” rally. How anemic have the upside gains for emergers been? Â Since the October lows of 2011, Vanguard Emerging [...] Continue Reading...
Over several decades, I have produced content for radio, television, magazines and web sites. And one of my longest-standing themes has been the silliness surrounding what constitutes a “bargain” in a stock market. Advocates for employing price-to-earnings ratios (P/Es) debate whether to use trailing 12 months or forward 12 months or trailing 10 years; some even [...] Continue Reading...
The S&P 500 has not merely been resilient in its six consecutive weeks of gains. The celebrated U.S. stock benchmark has been unstoppable in its 8.3% unrealized run-up. Granted, nearly everyone expects a period of mild selling activity (a.k.a. “a breather”). Indeed, history certainly suggests that unbridled enthusiasm usually gets a reality check or three. The [...] Continue Reading...
Las Vegas odds-makers believe that the San Francisco 49ers will beat the Baltimore Ravens to win Superbowl XLVII this Sunday, February 3. That’s what is implied by a 4-point spread. In contrast, if the professionals did not feel that the 49ers had a definitive edge, there would neither be a spread nor a so-called “favorite.” And [...] Continue Reading...
