Sometimes, when the chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve speaks, my diaphragm pushes on my lungs hard enough to inhibit breathing. It’s not that I don’t admire Ben Bernanke on a variety of levels. It’s just hard to believe that a man of remarkable intelligence is serious when he says, “In light of the current [...] Continue Reading...
There have been precious few opportunities to purchase U.S. stock weakness over the last seven months. Specifically, the smallest dips have reversed course quickly, always finding a way to grind higher. On the other hand, some exchange-traded vehicles along the more modest rung of the risk ladder have caught the attention of institutional buyers. Consider SPDR [...] Continue Reading...
One of the most prominent names in perma-bear predicting, Nouriel Roubini, just advised that you buy stocks for a period of about 2 years. At that time, the professor expects a global economic depression to rock the world markets. There’s a great deal of irony in hearing “Dr. Doom” discuss riding a stock wave higher through [...] Continue Reading...
On Monday, April 29, the S&P 500 may close at an all-time record peak. Yet very few folks seem to be talking about “selling high, and buying low.” If anything, a number of respectable analysts cheerily predict that any efforts to sell into market strength in May will be met quickly with a steady demand [...] Continue Reading...
The relative strength of the primary U.S. benchmarks — the Dow Industrials and the S&P 500 — distorts the true picture for risk assets today. In fact, we do not even need to look closely to see the cracks all along the wall. For example, the most important metal to the world’s economy appears destined for [...] Continue Reading...
For the first time in 2013, investors do not appear to be tripping over themselves to buy every fractional percentage dip. Here on 4/15, the media have blamed the accelerated selling on commodity price depreciation and a disappointing GDP reading (7.7%) out of China. So we’re supposed to believe that a manic Monday where the domestic [...] Continue Reading...
U.S. stocks have been resilient in their response to bad news throughout the year. They may sink at the start of a trading day, but they’ve been able to recover quickly and finish strong. Consider the most important headlines on Friday, April 12. Consumer confidence unexpectedly dropped to its lowest level in 9 months. Retail sales [...] Continue Reading...
Treasury bonds are rocketing, commodities are reeling and the euro-zone’s economy is contracting. That is hardly the backdrop for continued equity price appreciation. Yet the U.S. stock market has had little resistance in capturing all-time records. Regardless of region, asset classes typically move in the same direction. It follows that one would not expect unabashed buying [...] Continue Reading...
Flare-ups in the euro-zone refuse to disappear entirely. On the heels of a disastrous Italian election and a full-fledged banking crisis in Cyprus, a Portuguese court has ruled that some of the austerity requirements for bailout dollars are discriminatory. Prime Minister Coelho hopes to find a workaround, but alas… securing bailout money in the near [...] Continue Reading...
I came across an interesting fact on the news wires recently. The S&P 500 has corrected at least 5% at least one time in the first 5 months of every year since 1996. What does that mean? It implies that the probability of seeing the benchmark fall to 1485 from 1565 is greater than any [...] Continue Reading...
