Archive | Commodity ETFs

3 Reasons June Gloom Is Already Hitting The Markets

The theme of maintaining a sunny disposition in spite of genuine concerns has always been prevalent in music. Bobby McFerrin told people not to fear cash flow troubles or paying the rent late in his 80’s chart-topper “Don’t Worry, Be Happy.” Similarly, an animated meerkat from 1994’s The Lion King sang about ignoring one’s worries [...] Continue Reading...


Is Waning Enthusiasm For U.S. Dollar-Denominated Assets Temporary?

The U.S. economy is in trouble. After expanding at a modest 2.2% in the 4th quarter, economic growth dimmed to a scant 0.2% in Q1 of 2015. Yet privately, many are acknowledging the likelihood that revisions to first quarter gross domestic product (GDP) will indicate a trend toward contraction. Should investors actually concern themselves with economic [...] Continue Reading...


An Energy ETF Resurgence Defies The Naysayers

Maybe you do not know who Rex Tillerson is. Maybe you did not realize that Tillerson, a dinosaur in the energy sector, is the chairman and CEO of Exxon Mobil (XOM) – one of the largest corporations on the planet. The company that he runs had been the largest in the world by market capitalization [...] Continue Reading...


Is It Time To Rethink An Allocation To Gold?

Many investors have given up on the idea that gold merits consideration in their portfolios due to years of depreciation in the dollar price of the yellow metal. For one thing, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is still reeling from 35% bear market losses since the heyday of 2011’s euro-zone crisis. Similarly, sharp increases in [...] Continue Reading...


Paper Wealth In Your Accounts Is Great, But Only If You Know How To Protect It

One of the more challenging tasks in high finance is making the distinction between “paper wealth” and economic health. Are the two related? Sure. Are they positively correlated. Sometimes, particularly on the downside. Does one matter more than the other? That depends upon who you are. Too frequently, writers will talk about paper wealth like stocks [...] Continue Reading...


Stocks And Long Bonds Know That The Fed’s In A Pickle

Economists should not have been stunned by downward revisions to job creation for January and February. Similarly, analysts should not have been surprised by the painfully weak jobs data for March – information that confirmed the seriousness of the ailing U.S. economy. Some folks are clinging to the hope that the slowdown is attributable to poor [...] Continue Reading...


Are Transportation Stocks Hinting At A New Recession?

Is a recession around the corner? Some analysts believe the key to that answer resides with transportation companies like Federal Express (FDX), Union Pacific (UNP) and Ryder (R). Specifically, if less and less unfinished goods are being moved to manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers, then one might anticipate sluggish growth, or even economic contraction. How might one [...] Continue Reading...


Why A ‘Rate Hike Tantrum’ Will Not Kill Bond ETFs in 2015

The 10-year Treasury note is the most recognizable, and most important, debt instrument in the world’s financial system. It is vital to foreign jurisdictions, banks and investors as a way to gain exposure to the U.S. dollar as well as interest payments backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. federal government. Stateside, [...] Continue Reading...


Three Implications Of “Shifts” In Fed Policy

A large number of stocks in the Dow Jones Industrials Average have moved lower since the¬†Federal Reserve ended its quantitative easing (QE) program in late October. Telecom giants AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ) have toiled. Consumer champs Procter & Gamble (PG) and Coca-Cola (KO) have struggled. Commodity-related kings like Chevron (CVX) and Caterpillar (CAT)? They’ve [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Risk Management In The Face Of A Surging U.S. Dollar

Historically, when the U.S. dollar surges, forward S&P 500 earnings plummet. In the same vein, the last two times that the world’s reserve currency skyrocketed, the¬†U.S. economy slipped into a recession. Come on, Gary. Do you really think that we have already dipped into recession territory? No, I do not. Yet the idea that the Federal [...] Continue Reading...


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