Archive | Commodity ETFs

The Bears On Gold ETFs Are Wrong

Most of the top 50 economies in the world have engaged in one form or another of monetary stimulus since the start of 2009. Halfway through 2014, most still endeavor to keep interest rates low to encourage borrowing by consumers and businesses; nearly all of those countries or regions also hope to fuel exports with [...] Continue Reading...


Are Precious Metals ETFs Dead In The Creek?

Flash back to the summer of 2011. The U.S. Congress struggled with a decision to raise the debt ceiling. The “PIGS” (i.e., Portugal, Italy, Greece, Spain) had dramatically overspent, endangering the existence of the euro-zone. Stocks cratered. The CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) soared. Meanwhile, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) catapulted 26% in a [...] Continue Reading...


Liquidity Makes Alternative ETFs Less Peculiar

Increasingly, clients and prospective clients have been asking me about “liquid alternatives.” On the one hand, I like the thinking behind an inquiry where the liquidity of an investment is at the forefront of a consideration. Alternative assets (e.g., art, wine, commercial real estate, commodities, etc.) often sound intriguing on the surface, but unless one [...] Continue Reading...


What You Don’t Know About Relative Strength Shifts In ETFs Can Hurt You

One of the best web sites for identifying trends in the ETF marketplace is ETFscreen.com. And one of the best features at the data aggregation portal is the Relative Strength Factor (RSf) reporting. According to ETF Screen, the Relative Strength Factor (RSf) represents a percentile ranking of fund performance relative to all other funds in the [...] Continue Reading...


The Return Of Energy ETF Dominance?

Energy ETFs outperformed the overwhelming majority of competing sector investments in the previous bull market (10/02-10/07). In the early part of the run, the war in Iraq boosted the demand for shares. In the later stages of the rally, emerging economic growth fueled speculative excesses in both the price of oil as well as desire [...] Continue Reading...


Great Rotation? ETFs Encounter A Different Kind Of Shift In 2014

Whatever happened to the “Great Rotation?” You remember the predictive theory that ultra-low yields would encourage investors to rotate out of bonds and into stocks. The notion picked up steam shortly after the Federal Reserve announced its intention to taper its quantitative easing (QE) program in May of 2013. Yield-sensitive assets of all stripes — [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Investors React With Caution To A Weakening Consumer

Last week, board members of the Federal Reserve signaled that they may begin hiking overnight lending rates as early as 2015.  A majority of analysts believe that the message is in line with an anticipated acceleration of U.S. economic growth and a more robust expansion. Similarly, economists polled by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) [...] Continue Reading...


Three Characteristics Of ETFs Near 52-Week Highs

The investing public tends to place a great deal of faith in the forecasts of economists. To be frank, I am not entirely sure why. An overwhelming majority missed the impact that well-documented declines in real estate were having on the economy in 2007. Here in 2014, the latest housing data may be showing cracks as [...] Continue Reading...


The Reappearance Of Resources-Rich Country ETFs

For the better part of three years, investing in mining companies has been an exercise in extraordinary patience. A significant portion of the poor performance is attributable to the slowdown in emerging market growth. Economic weakness from China to Brazil to India has contributed to plummeting commodity prices and fresh lows for industrial metals. Shares of [...] Continue Reading...


Is The Bear For Gold-Oriented ETFs Over?

Non-residential construction, home building and manufacturing have been decelerating. Nowhere is this more evident than in the new 52-week lows being set by industrial metals like iPath Copper (JJC) and multi-sector metals investments like PowerShares DB Base Metals (DBB). The latter tracks a rules-based index composed of futures contracts in widely used metals like aluminum, [...] Continue Reading...


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