Archive | Consumer ETFs

These 5 ETF Charts Are Killing “Risk-On” Exhilaration

Admit it. You are feeling a little bit edgy these days. While you understand that fear is the elixir of investment opportunity, you also recognize that there is little glory for the last person standing on a sinking aircraft carrier. Most in the media have been touting bull market accomplishments, job gains and economic progress. Writers [...] Continue Reading...


Home Sales Data Incinerate Confidence In Economically Sensitive Stock ETFs

My wife and I sold two condominiums near the tail end of 2005. We could not justify owning residences that were 40% more expensive to own than to rent. Simply put, it was time to cash in. Due largely to my comfort with the liquidity of market-based securities, I did not wade back into the real [...] Continue Reading...


Emerging Markets Versus U.S. Small Caps: Which Provides Better Reward For The Risk?

Downward revisions to economic growth going forward have little to do with the weather in the first few months of the year. Yet economists are already concluding that gross domestic product (GDP) in the second, third and fourth quarters will be lower than originally anticipated. Similarly, the National Retail Federation (NRF) is blaming the so-called [...] Continue Reading...


Why U.S. Small Company ETFs Are Losing Their Way

There has been a great deal of talk about the housing recovery. Sales of existing homes steadily rose between mid-2011 and mid-2013 on the back of a weak U.S. dollar and an increase in the money supply. Indeed, Federal Reserve monetary policy had stimulated demand for U.S. stocks as well as U.S. real estate. Yet [...] Continue Reading...


Value Versus Momentum: What Should You Buy For Your ETF Portfolio

In a world of high-frequency trading, central bank rate manipulation and cross-border fund flows, fundamental value often gets pushed to the back burner. Without question, U.S. stocks are very expensive — inordinately overpriced. Nevertheless, most will opt to continue placing their faith and their hard-earned dollars in what they know. Can one pursue reasonably priced equities [...] Continue Reading...


ETFs With Low P/S Ratios May Be The Only Bargains Left

The 30 companies that comprise the Dow Jones Industrials collectively failed to increase sales in 2013. Yet the price of the Dow surged more than 25%. And while that price appreciation for the big-time benchmark may be slowing, the Dow still managed to eclipse 17,000 without generating much in the way of actual revenue growth. Sales [...] Continue Reading...


3 Rate-Sensitive ETF Categories Demonstrate High-Caliber Endurance

Many of the word’s most respected economists projected the direction of interest rates at the start of the year. The average assessment? Experts collectively anticipated that the 10-year Treasury bond yield would rise from 3.03% to 3.41% by the end of 2014. I didn’t see it. For one thing, the well-being of real estate in a below-trend [...] Continue Reading...


Are Consumer ETFs Ready To Cry Uncle?

Most folks experience anxiety about carrying any kind of debt load. Many of us do not even distinguish between the different types of debt that we owe. Of course, some debts may be “better” than others. A subsidized Stafford loan from the Federal government allows a student to defer his/her principal and interest during college, pay [...] Continue Reading...


Are Record Levels Of Consumer Credit Dangerous To Your ETF Portfolio?

Technology was the best performing sector in the five years prior to the 2000-2002 stock market bear. The acceleration of dot-com mania created a boom-to-bust scenario that few had ever seen. Yet “tech” actually weakened before other segments of the economy. What’s more, corporate shares of technology companies witnessed far more violent sell-offs than stock [...] Continue Reading...


3 “Risk-Off” Signs For ETF Investors

Committee members of the U.S. Federal Reserve forecast economic growth every year. Not surprisingly, investors place a great deal of faith in those projections. After all, Fed estimates may impact monetary policy. Estimates for each of the last five years turned out to be exceedingly rosy. Time and again, the “recovery” turned out to be sluggish [...] Continue Reading...


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