Archive | Consumer ETFs

Great Rotation? ETFs Encounter A Different Kind Of Shift In 2014

Whatever happened to the “Great Rotation?” You remember the predictive theory that ultra-low yields would encourage investors to rotate out of bonds and into stocks. The notion picked up steam shortly after the Federal Reserve announced its intention to taper its quantitative easing (QE) program in May of 2013. Yield-sensitive assets of all stripes — [...] Continue Reading...


Disappointing Employment Data Affects Stock And Bond ETFs Differently

In 2008, President George W. Bush expressed regret for an ill-conceived 2003 speech aboard the USS Intrepid in front of a “Mission Accomplished” banner. The blunder? The declaration of victory in the initial battle and the subsequent celebration came a mere month into the war. Consequently, every setback for years afterwards reminded the country that [...] Continue Reading...


How Bond ETFs Crushed Stock ETFs In The First Quarter Of 2014

Don’t blame weakness in home sales on weather conditions. The National Association of Realtor’s pending home sales index has fallen for eight consecutive months. In fact, you can trace the trouble directly back to when 30-year fixed mortgages pole vaulted from 3.5% to 4.5% in the summer of 2013. The rate-sensitive home-building segment has been able [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Investors React With Caution To A Weakening Consumer

Last week, board members of the Federal Reserve signaled that they may begin hiking overnight lending rates as early as 2015.  A majority of analysts believe that the message is in line with an anticipated acceleration of U.S. economic growth and a more robust expansion. Similarly, economists polled by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) [...] Continue Reading...


Three Big Time Trends That ETF Investors May Miss

How do stock market benchmarks pop 1% out of the blue? Check your Twitter news feed. Crimea voted to join Russia as everyone anticipated. Industrial production rose more than expected in February. And the second largest e-commerce site in the world, China-based Alibaba, is getting increasingly close to an IPO date. In essence, buying the previous [...] Continue Reading...


U.S. Stock ETFs Completely Decouple From U.S. Economic Concerns

Can we really attribute all of the horrendously weak economic data to icy pavements and polar vortexes? The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) services sector report for February recorded its weakest data point in four years (51.6), posting a percentage decline that is the second worst ever. In the same report, a sub-index on jobs [...] Continue Reading...


Lower Risk ETFs On The New 52-Week High List

Does anyone really think that the monstrous erosion in homebuilder sentiment and the disappearance of mortgage applications are due to the nasty weather? Perhaps one can attribute the sad state of retailer earnings to cold spells and polar vortexes. One can even consider excusing two months of abysmal payroll data to rain, sleet and snow. [...] Continue Reading...


Diversification Across ETF Asset Classes Reclaims Its Mojo

Glum economic data derailed U.S. stocks in January. A mammoth “miss” for manufacturing activity, an unsettling decline in mortgage applications as well as an appalling “net-new-jobs” number were some of the high-profile culprits. At long last, it seemed as if the market might treat bad news as a reason to recoil. Here in February, though, disappointing [...] Continue Reading...


Are Consumer ETFs Going The Way Of The VCR?

One of the most commonly cited facts about the U.S. economy is that consumers represent two-thirds or more of GDP growth. Put another way, if Americans are spending, the economy expands. If we rein in our consumption, however, the economy expands at a slower pace and/or contracts. On Thursday (1/30), newswires trumpeted that GDP expanded at [...] Continue Reading...


3 ETFs That Will Benefit From Capital Shifting Abroad

There’s not much question that the U.S. stock market is — in a traditional sense — overvalued. The S&P 500 currently flashes a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio that is 20% higher than its historical average over a trailing 12-month period. Similarly, its price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.6 is, conservatively speaking, 25% greater than a more typical [...] Continue Reading...


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