Archive | Consumer ETFs

Why The U.S. Stock Market Never Completely Recovered

Some things go unnoticed. For example, the S&P 500 rallied 13% off its closing lows (1867) set in late August. Lost in the shuffle? The popular benchmark has yet to revisit its closing highs (2130) registered back in May. In essence, the corrective activity that began in the springtime as a function of a faltering [...] Continue Reading...


Investing Alongside The Purveyors Of False Hope

Say what you want about Bill Gross. He’s arrogant. He’s petty. He didn’t give his colleague El-Arian enough credit. He destroyed PIMCO Total Return (PTTDX) and now he is dragging down the bond funds at Janus. What kind of bond king is that? From my vantage point, however, the rush to discredit Gross has its [...] Continue Reading...


Our Current Asset Allocation For Moderate Growth and Income Clients

There were few investment professionals who believed in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) back in 1993. In fact, you could count the early adopters on your keyboard-using fingers. For example, my friend and money manager Tom Lydon used ETFs before he created ETF Trends. Dave Fry gathered a following at ETF Digest. And “yours truly?” I regularly [...] Continue Reading...


Singer Meghan Trainor Knows, It’s All About That Central Bank Stimulus

Nearly one-third of S&P 500 corporations have reported earnings and revenue from the third quarter. With 147 companies chiming in, profits are down -0.6% and sales are down -2.7% from a year earlier. One might have thought that several quarters of contraction in earnings and revenue (a.k.a. an “earnings recession” and a “revenue recession”) might [...] Continue Reading...


Tepid Appetite For Risk Implies That Investors Are Still Haunted By Potential Loss

Is the worst behind us? Maybe. Yet the appetite for risk is decidedly less vibrant than before the August-September meltdown. (Review Market Top? 15 Warning Signs.) Consider high-quality bonds as represented by the Bank of America Merrill Lynch US Corporate A Option-Adjusted Spread. The yield spread between A-rated companies and comparable U.S. treasuries typically falls during [...] Continue Reading...


What Deleveraging May Mean For Netflix And Many Of Your Favorite Stocks

You know those annoying notifications that chime on your cell phone in the middle of the work day? The ones that sound off to let you know when Kim Kardashian’s daughter sits on a commode? Or when Donald Trump insults a member of the media? I get far too many of those. I’ve tried playing with the [...] Continue Reading...


All About Nothing: Stock ETFs Celebrate Zero Percent Rate Policy

About a year ago, I was meeting a client at a restaurant in Marina Del Rey, California. The traffic had been mild by Los Angeles County standards, so I arrived in the area early. I stopped in a local coffee shop and sat down in a booth. Lo and behold, in the booth next to [...] Continue Reading...


What the 3rd Quarter Tells Us About The Stock Market In October

Three months ago to the day (6/30), I served up a list of reasons for lowering one’s exposure to riskier assets. I discussed weakness in market internals where fewer and fewer corporate components of the Dow and S&P 500 had been propping up the popular U.S. benchmarks. I talked about the faster rate of deterioration [...] Continue Reading...


Resilient Consumer? Not During The Manufacturing Retreat and Corporate Revenue Recession

Concerned investors started punishing foreign stocks and emerging market equities in May. The primary reason? Many feared the adverse effects of declining economic growth around the globe as well as the related declines in world trade. By June, risk-averse investors began selling U.S. high yield bonds as well as U.S. small cap assets. A significant [...] Continue Reading...


Why The S&P 500 Is Likely To Revisit The Correction Lows Near 1870

In Selling The Drama Or Buying The Rally (8/27), I delineated the way in which 10%-plus price corrections had unfolded under similar circumstances in history (e.g., 1998, 2010, 2011, etc.). Specifically, when the prospects for the global economy are deteriorating, U.S. stock benchmarks typically reclaim about one-half of their losses on “hope rallies.” Afterwards, they retest [...] Continue Reading...


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