Archive | Consumer ETFs

The Great ETF Rotation Is Accelerating

Back on April 9, I talked about a “Great Rotation” away from momentum plays (e.g., biotech, Internet, small-cap growth, etc.). Where did the smart money go? Demand had been picking up for the least popular asset classes from 2013, including long-dated treasuries, select emerging markets as well as commodities. Five trading weeks have passed since I [...] Continue Reading...


International Stock and Bond ETFs Deserve More Of Your Allocation

U.S. corporate earnings growth has slowed. Heck, if you are looking at companies in the Dow Industrials, earnings have actually declined for three of the last four quarters. Yet record highs for broader U.S. stock benchmarks continue stealing the headlines. Are U.S. corporations genuinely thriving? In the aggregate, one can say that they’ve increased profitability through [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Moves You Can Make Before The Crowd Gets Restless

Nobody can tell you when a 10% stock market pullback is imminent. That has not stopped many from issuing erroneous prognostications over the last 31 months. By the same token, no individual can predict when a correction will morph into a 20% bearish sell-off. Yet Marc Faber (”Dr. Doom”) has routinely served up enormously frightful [...] Continue Reading...


Growth Stock ETFs Pass The Torch To Value Stock ETFs

How impressive is the rotation into energy stock ETFs? Even natural resources-heavy iShares MSCI Canada (EWC) is hitting fresh 52-week highs. Granted, the recent price movement may not make up for years of perennial underachievement. Yet it is hard to dismiss the prospect of a changing of the guard. Some folks have expressed confidence that the [...] Continue Reading...


Great Rotation? ETFs Encounter A Different Kind Of Shift In 2014

Whatever happened to the “Great Rotation?” You remember the predictive theory that ultra-low yields would encourage investors to rotate out of bonds and into stocks. The notion picked up steam shortly after the Federal Reserve announced its intention to taper its quantitative easing (QE) program in May of 2013. Yield-sensitive assets of all stripes — [...] Continue Reading...


Disappointing Employment Data Affects Stock And Bond ETFs Differently

In 2008, President George W. Bush expressed regret for an ill-conceived 2003 speech aboard the USS Intrepid in front of a “Mission Accomplished” banner. The blunder? The declaration of victory in the initial battle and the subsequent celebration came a mere month into the war. Consequently, every setback for years afterwards reminded the country that [...] Continue Reading...


How Bond ETFs Crushed Stock ETFs In The First Quarter Of 2014

Don’t blame weakness in home sales on weather conditions. The National Association of Realtor’s pending home sales index has fallen for eight consecutive months. In fact, you can trace the trouble directly back to when 30-year fixed mortgages pole vaulted from 3.5% to 4.5% in the summer of 2013. The rate-sensitive home-building segment has been able [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Investors React With Caution To A Weakening Consumer

Last week, board members of the Federal Reserve signaled that they may begin hiking overnight lending rates as early as 2015.  A majority of analysts believe that the message is in line with an anticipated acceleration of U.S. economic growth and a more robust expansion. Similarly, economists polled by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) [...] Continue Reading...


Three Big Time Trends That ETF Investors May Miss

How do stock market benchmarks pop 1% out of the blue? Check your Twitter news feed. Crimea voted to join Russia as everyone anticipated. Industrial production rose more than expected in February. And the second largest e-commerce site in the world, China-based Alibaba, is getting increasingly close to an IPO date. In essence, buying the previous [...] Continue Reading...


U.S. Stock ETFs Completely Decouple From U.S. Economic Concerns

Can we really attribute all of the horrendously weak economic data to icy pavements and polar vortexes? The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) services sector report for February recorded its weakest data point in four years (51.6), posting a percentage decline that is the second worst ever. In the same report, a sub-index on jobs [...] Continue Reading...


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