Archive | Consumer ETFs

Emerging Markets Versus U.S. Small Caps: Which Provides Better Reward For The Risk?

Downward revisions to economic growth going forward have little to do with the weather in the first few months of the year. Yet economists are already concluding that gross domestic product (GDP) in the second, third and fourth quarters will be lower than originally anticipated. Similarly, the National Retail Federation (NRF) is blaming the so-called [...] Continue Reading...


Why U.S. Small Company ETFs Are Losing Their Way

There has been a great deal of talk about the housing recovery. Sales of existing homes steadily rose between mid-2011 and mid-2013 on the back of a weak U.S. dollar and an increase in the money supply. Indeed, Federal Reserve monetary policy had stimulated demand for U.S. stocks as well as U.S. real estate. Yet [...] Continue Reading...


Value Versus Momentum: What Should You Buy For Your ETF Portfolio

In a world of high-frequency trading, central bank rate manipulation and cross-border fund flows, fundamental value often gets pushed to the back burner. Without question, U.S. stocks are very expensive — inordinately overpriced. Nevertheless, most will opt to continue placing their faith and their hard-earned dollars in what they know. Can one pursue reasonably priced equities [...] Continue Reading...


ETFs With Low P/S Ratios May Be The Only Bargains Left

The 30 companies that comprise the Dow Jones Industrials collectively failed to increase sales in 2013. Yet the price of the Dow surged more than 25%. And while that price appreciation for the big-time benchmark may be slowing, the Dow still managed to eclipse 17,000 without generating much in the way of actual revenue growth. Sales [...] Continue Reading...


3 Rate-Sensitive ETF Categories Demonstrate High-Caliber Endurance

Many of the word’s most respected economists projected the direction of interest rates at the start of the year. The average assessment? Experts collectively anticipated that the 10-year Treasury bond yield would rise from 3.03% to 3.41% by the end of 2014. I didn’t see it. For one thing, the well-being of real estate in a below-trend [...] Continue Reading...


Are Consumer ETFs Ready To Cry Uncle?

Most folks experience anxiety about carrying any kind of debt load. Many of us do not even distinguish between the different types of debt that we owe. Of course, some debts may be “better” than others. A subsidized Stafford loan from the Federal government allows a student to defer his/her principal and interest during college, pay [...] Continue Reading...


Are Record Levels Of Consumer Credit Dangerous To Your ETF Portfolio?

Technology was the best performing sector in the five years prior to the 2000-2002 stock market bear. The acceleration of dot-com mania created a boom-to-bust scenario that few had ever seen. Yet “tech” actually weakened before other segments of the economy. What’s more, corporate shares of technology companies witnessed far more violent sell-offs than stock [...] Continue Reading...


3 “Risk-Off” Signs For ETF Investors

Committee members of the U.S. Federal Reserve forecast economic growth every year. Not surprisingly, investors place a great deal of faith in those projections. After all, Fed estimates may impact monetary policy. Estimates for each of the last five years turned out to be exceedingly rosy. Time and again, the “recovery” turned out to be sluggish [...] Continue Reading...


Buy “Value ETFs” Here, Buy “Growth ETFs” Over There

Home Depot, Target, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Staples, PetSmart, Sears, Lowe’s, Walmart. What do all of these companies have in common? They sell products to the middle class. Lately, however, these retailers have not been selling a whole of their wares to middle class consumers.  Not only did they reveal disappointing top-line revenue numbers in the [...] Continue Reading...


“Old Tech” ETFs Are Better Risk-Reward Prospects Than “New Tech” ETFs

Scores of investors often regard Benjamin Graham as the grandfather of value investing. Even those who shun Graham’s methods of analyzing securities tend to revere quotes attributed to him. For example, on market complacency, “… chief losses to investors come from the purchase of low-quality securities at times of good business conditions.” In this discussion, we [...] Continue Reading...


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