Archive | Currency ETFs

Value Versus Momentum: What Should You Buy For Your ETF Portfolio

In a world of high-frequency trading, central bank rate manipulation and cross-border fund flows, fundamental value often gets pushed to the back burner. Without question, U.S. stocks are very expensive — inordinately overpriced. Nevertheless, most will opt to continue placing their faith and their hard-earned dollars in what they know. Can one pursue reasonably priced equities [...] Continue Reading...


The Bears On Gold ETFs Are Wrong

Most of the top 50 economies in the world have engaged in one form or another of monetary stimulus since the start of 2009. Halfway through 2014, most still endeavor to keep interest rates low to encourage borrowing by consumers and businesses; nearly all of those countries or regions also hope to fuel exports with [...] Continue Reading...


Three ETF Investments For Persistent Euro Weakness

One of the key themes that I presented at the start of 2014 was the notion that capital would begin shifting abroad. Attractive valuations compared to U.S. equities, ongoing stimulative measures in Europe as well as “carry trade” funding of higher-yielding assets contributed to several high conviction purchases. Chief among them? iShares MSCI New Zealand (ENZL). [...] Continue Reading...


Managing ETF Portfolio Risk: Be Mindful Of Reversions To Long-Term Averages

The Internet buzzes with predictions for the next bear market. Some use fundamental analysis to make their case. For instance, Shiller’s cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings ratio for U.S. equities (PE 10) employs 10 years of trailing corporate profits. It currently stands at 25.6, while the historical average is roughly 16.5. This suggests that if U.S. large-cap stocks [...] Continue Reading...


3 “Risk-Off” Signs For ETF Investors

Committee members of the U.S. Federal Reserve forecast economic growth every year. Not surprisingly, investors place a great deal of faith in those projections. After all, Fed estimates may impact monetary policy. Estimates for each of the last five years turned out to be exceedingly rosy. Time and again, the “recovery” turned out to be sluggish [...] Continue Reading...


“Old Tech” ETFs Are Better Risk-Reward Prospects Than “New Tech” ETFs

Scores of investors often regard Benjamin Graham as the grandfather of value investing. Even those who shun Graham’s methods of analyzing securities tend to revere quotes attributed to him. For example, on market complacency, “… chief losses to investors come from the purchase of low-quality securities at times of good business conditions.” In this discussion, we [...] Continue Reading...


What You Don’t Know About Relative Strength Shifts In ETFs Can Hurt You

One of the best web sites for identifying trends in the ETF marketplace is ETFscreen.com. And one of the best features at the data aggregation portal is the Relative Strength Factor (RSf) reporting. According to ETF Screen, the Relative Strength Factor (RSf) represents a percentile ranking of fund performance relative to all other funds in the [...] Continue Reading...


Weaker Euro Presents ETF Admirers With Multiple Opportunities

At the tail end of 2013, journalists asked money managers like myself about perceived threats to stock assets in 2014. My answer was simple: The possibility for policy missteps in the battle against global deflation might scare away risk-takers. In truth, my commentary received a lukewarm reception. Some argued that deflation is a good thing for [...] Continue Reading...


The Reappearance Of Resources-Rich Country ETFs

For the better part of three years, investing in mining companies has been an exercise in extraordinary patience. A significant portion of the poor performance is attributable to the slowdown in emerging market growth. Economic weakness from China to Brazil to India has contributed to plummeting commodity prices and fresh lows for industrial metals. Shares of [...] Continue Reading...


5 ETF Indicators Battle The Risk-On Herd

Shares of Gilead, Netflix and Tesla have rocketed to record peaks. The S&P 500 is on track for its best monthly performance since October. And the overwhelming majority of CNBC commentators assure viewers that the bullish case for stocks rests on a solid foundation. While there may not be a compelling reason to abandon broad market [...] Continue Reading...


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