Archive | Currency ETFs

It Is Not Too Late To Hedge Against Stock ETF Risk

Since October of 2011, the US. stock market has not only been resilient, it has repelled more water than Gore-Tex. The pullbacks in 2012, 2013 and the first eight months of 2014 have been unrepentant buying opportunities. The current downpour that began in mid-September, however, has presented bears with more compelling reasons to sell. Market valuations [...] Continue Reading...


Bond ETFs: Selling the Rumor, Buying The News

The appetite for stock risk is softening, yet few people are talking about it. Take a look at the “Advance-Decline Line” – one of the more popular technical analysis tools for identifying potential trend reversals. It dropped below a short-term moving average (50 SMA) in early August; it is now below the key trendline in [...] Continue Reading...


How ETF Investors Can Prepare For A 10% Correction

What is the longest period of time that the S&P 500 has traded without a 10% correction? According to Bespoke Investment Group, the record is a blissful 1,127-day run from July 1984 to August 1987. The current rally? 1,069 days. The waters are so calm, in fact, that only 13.3% of respondents to the most [...] Continue Reading...


Hedged Japan ETFs May Radiate On Efforts To Further Weaken The Yen

Several months before Shinzo Abe took office as the Prime Minister of Japan, the pre-ordained leader had expressed a fierce determination to jump start Japan’s economy through unconventional monetary policy measures. Like the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) would electronically create yen to acquire less liquid assets, such as government bonds. For a [...] Continue Reading...


5 Days of Fearful Trading Provide ETF Insights

Five days cannot tell you much about the future direction of market-based securities or their respective asset classes. They may, however, be able to provide insight into the more pressing issues or lingering worries on the minds of investors. For example, many folks believe that Europe’s sovereign debt crisis effectively ended in 2011 when the head [...] Continue Reading...


Value Versus Momentum: What Should You Buy For Your ETF Portfolio

In a world of high-frequency trading, central bank rate manipulation and cross-border fund flows, fundamental value often gets pushed to the back burner. Without question, U.S. stocks are very expensive — inordinately overpriced. Nevertheless, most will opt to continue placing their faith and their hard-earned dollars in what they know. Can one pursue reasonably priced equities [...] Continue Reading...


The Bears On Gold ETFs Are Wrong

Most of the top 50 economies in the world have engaged in one form or another of monetary stimulus since the start of 2009. Halfway through 2014, most still endeavor to keep interest rates low to encourage borrowing by consumers and businesses; nearly all of those countries or regions also hope to fuel exports with [...] Continue Reading...


Three ETF Investments For Persistent Euro Weakness

One of the key themes that I presented at the start of 2014 was the notion that capital would begin shifting abroad. Attractive valuations compared to U.S. equities, ongoing stimulative measures in Europe as well as “carry trade” funding of higher-yielding assets contributed to several high conviction purchases. Chief among them? iShares MSCI New Zealand (ENZL). [...] Continue Reading...


Managing ETF Portfolio Risk: Be Mindful Of Reversions To Long-Term Averages

The Internet buzzes with predictions for the next bear market. Some use fundamental analysis to make their case. For instance, Shiller’s cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings ratio for U.S. equities (PE 10) employs 10 years of trailing corporate profits. It currently stands at 25.6, while the historical average is roughly 16.5. This suggests that if U.S. large-cap stocks [...] Continue Reading...


3 “Risk-Off” Signs For ETF Investors

Committee members of the U.S. Federal Reserve forecast economic growth every year. Not surprisingly, investors place a great deal of faith in those projections. After all, Fed estimates may impact monetary policy. Estimates for each of the last five years turned out to be exceedingly rosy. Time and again, the “recovery” turned out to be sluggish [...] Continue Reading...


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