Archive | Currency ETFs

A Diversified, Safer Way To Hedge Against Stocks Using ETFs

There are plenty of ways that you can hurt a man and bring him to the ground. You can beat him, you can cheat him, you can treat him bad and leave him when he’s down. Queen – Another One Bites The Dust Over the last 12 months, most efforts to hedge against U.S. stock risk have proven [...] Continue Reading...


3 Seemingly Crazy ETF Ideas

Japan has now registered two consecutive quarters of economic contraction – a persistent absence of growth that defines most recessions. For worse or for better, the world’s third largest economy will simply commit additional electronic money printing resources to acquire more Japanese stock and bond assets. This activity weakens the yen which, in turn, emboldens [...] Continue Reading...


Three Critical ETF Trends That Require Monitoring

When influential managers (e.g., large financial institutions, hedge funds, etc.) borrow low-yielding assets to invest in higher-appreciating, higher-yielding ones, they are engaging in a speculative art. What is the nature of the artwork here in 2014? Borrow as much yen and euro at negligible rates as possible to finance the acquisition of U.S. stocks and [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Flows: Nobody Believes In Europe, Everyone Believes In North America

The SPDR S&P 500 Trust (SPY) trades at a P/E (trailing 12 months) of 18.64 and a P/B of 2.7. The average P/E ratio since the 1870’s is roughly 15, while the current P/B is higher than 82% of the bull market tops since the mid-1920s. Although several may try to describe the U.S. stock market [...] Continue Reading...


Are Energy ETFs The Key To A Sustainable Bull Market?

Theoretically, the prospect for investing in riskier assets should be dim. Consider the weakness in real estate – a major component of the U.S. economy. Mortgage application volume recently fell to its lowest level since 1995. Meanwhile, U.S. stocks are expensive on nearly all of the traditional measures. Cyclically-adjusted P/E ratios suggest that stocks may be [...] Continue Reading...


When Will Emerging Market ETFs Join The “Risk-On” Party?

When monetary policy leaders spoke in October, investors listened. Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) member, James Bullard, suggested that his colleagues consider extending the U.S. central bank’s policy of buying bonds. In a similar vein, the European Central Bank (ECB) revived its activity of purchasing assets in its attempt to stimulate the region’s economy. [...] Continue Reading...


It Is Not Too Late To Hedge Against Stock ETF Risk

Since October of 2011, the US. stock market has not only been resilient, it has repelled more water than Gore-Tex. The pullbacks in 2012, 2013 and the first eight months of 2014 have been unrepentant buying opportunities. The current downpour that began in mid-September, however, has presented bears with more compelling reasons to sell. Market valuations [...] Continue Reading...


Bond ETFs: Selling the Rumor, Buying The News

The appetite for stock risk is softening, yet few people are talking about it. Take a look at the “Advance-Decline Line” – one of the more popular technical analysis tools for identifying potential trend reversals. It dropped below a short-term moving average (50 SMA) in early August; it is now below the key trendline in [...] Continue Reading...


How ETF Investors Can Prepare For A 10% Correction

What is the longest period of time that the S&P 500 has traded without a 10% correction? According to Bespoke Investment Group, the record is a blissful 1,127-day run from July 1984 to August 1987. The current rally? 1,069 days. The waters are so calm, in fact, that only 13.3% of respondents to the most [...] Continue Reading...


Hedged Japan ETFs May Radiate On Efforts To Further Weaken The Yen

Several months before Shinzo Abe took office as the Prime Minister of Japan, the pre-ordained leader had expressed a fierce determination to jump start Japan’s economy through unconventional monetary policy measures. Like the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) would electronically create yen to acquire less liquid assets, such as government bonds. For a [...] Continue Reading...


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