Archive | Currency ETFs

European ETF Investors Bank On More Monetary Stimulus

On Monday, 2/24, most market commentary centered on U.S. benchmarks rocketing to record highs. Writers have been missing the bigger story. Eurozone consumer prices fell in January at their fastest pace ever. Let me reiterate. For as long as statisticians have been keeping data on eurozone inflation, the pace at which it is dropping is faster [...] Continue Reading...


U.S., European Stock ETFs Will Take Their Cues From Japanese Stimulus

The S&P 500 and the Dow may be toiling to reclaim the glory of all-time record peaks. On the other hand, nearly 200 ETFs have already recovered 52-week highs, terminating the notion of a lengthy stock market correction. The list of winners includes some of the biggest names from 2013, including: (a) Powershares DJ Pharmaceuticals [...] Continue Reading...


Diversification Across ETF Asset Classes Reclaims Its Mojo

Glum economic data derailed U.S. stocks in January. A mammoth “miss” for manufacturing activity, an unsettling decline in mortgage applications as well as an appalling “net-new-jobs” number were some of the high-profile culprits. At long last, it seemed as if the market might treat bad news as a reason to recoil. Here in February, though, disappointing [...] Continue Reading...


What Currency ETFs Know That Stock Investors Do Not

Investors can borrow a currency with low interest rates or zero interest rates and buy risk assets (e.g., stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, etc.) in a currency with a higher interest rate. For example, a hedge fund might decide to borrow the low-yielding Japanese yen to buy New Zealand stocks that trade in the higher-yielding New [...] Continue Reading...


3 ETF Indicators That Challenge The “Economy Is Improving” Assumption

CNBC commentators and Bloomberg analysts have spent the last few months explaining how the Federal Reserve’s measured withdrawal (a.k.a. “tapering”) from electronic dollar creation (a.k.a. quantitative easing) is a sign that the U.S. economy is capable of standing on its own. Personally, I believe that it should be allowed to stand on its own regardless; [...] Continue Reading...


Telecom, Utilities ETFs Ride The “Risk-Off” Train Alongside Lower Interest Rates

The Federal Reserve’s bond-buying program (a.k.a. “quantitative easing”) assuaged the fears of most stock market participants last year. From the fiscal cliff to the sequester spending cuts to the financial crisis in Cyprus, there were few hiccups in the price of the S&P 500. Even after May, when Chairman Bernanke hinted at curbing the controversial [...] Continue Reading...


3 Reasons Foreign Stock ETFs Can Outperform U.S. Stock ETFs

Some media writers have expressed little surprise by the extent of the run-up in U.S. stocks. It’s one thing to be bullish. It’s quite another to look at 28% year-to-date gains for the S&P 500 as customary. Super-sized annual percentage jumps occur more frequently in the initial year of a bull market. That’s why one can [...] Continue Reading...


What Current Federal Reserve Policy Will Mean For Stock ETFs in 2014

Stock markets initially plummeted on the notion that the Federal Reserve would print less money, buy less government debt and stand by as interest rates soared into the stratosphere. Very quickly, however, Fed officials extinguished fears of skyrocketing borrowing costs by simultaneously announcing that its policy of zero-percent overnight lending would continue “well beyond” the [...] Continue Reading...


Buying An International ETF? Check Its Corresponding Currency ETF First

Nobody may have any interest in shorting the U.S. stock market right now. Yet futures traders are growing increasingly excited about the prospect of shorting certain currencies. In particular, bets that the Japanese yen will fall against the greenback are at their highest levels since the summer of 2007. Granted, a contrarian might think that [...] Continue Reading...


3 ETFs To Consider For Reasons Other Than Ultra-Low Interest Rates

I have met David Kotok, chief investment officer at Cumberland Advisors, at several conferences in which we have both been speakers. He is intelligent, amiable and approachable. Recently, I read an article by Mr. Kotok on whether or not Federal Reserve tapering constituted tightening. He suggested that it may not be. He also maintained that Cumberland [...] Continue Reading...


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