Archive | Current Affairs and ETFs

How Should You Address The Existing Risk Of Disastrous Loss In The Market?

The previous decade’s financial crisis did not begin in earnest until 2008. Bear Stearns. Lehman Brothers. AIG. And yet, the warning signs had appeared long beforehand. Real estate sales had turned negative on a year-over-year basis in 2006, even as prices kept climbing. Meanwhile, SPDR Select Sector Financials (XLF) logged -21% in 2007, even as [...] Continue Reading...


5 Inconvenient Stock Truths For The Bold And The Reckless

Here are five big-league reasons to evaluate your current asset mix: 1. Credit Fundamentals Are Deteriorating. What do you remember about the financial crisis in 2008? Perhaps you think about a term like “subprime mortgage.” Or maybe you recall the way home values and stock prices collapsed. Either way, most would agree that households and [...] Continue Reading...


Stock Market Gains: A Vote Of Confidence For The Economy?

Wall Street analysts may regard the U.S. economy in a favorable light. Indeed, many believe that higher stock prices reflect optimism about the country’s economic future. Yet Gallup’s U.S. Economic Confidence Index portrays an entirely different picture. More and more Americans believe the economy is getting worse. In fact, even as U.S. stocks push upward to [...] Continue Reading...


What Is The Most Opportunistic Asset Class Right Now?

Are the new all-time highs in U.S. large cap stocks as big a deal as the media would have you believe? On a year-over-year basis, other asset classes have been more impressive. Bonds via Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND), gold via SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and the “risk-off” Japanese yen via Currency Shares Yen Trust [...] Continue Reading...


How To Avoid Harsh Consequences When Borrowing Stock Gains From The Future

According to Blackrock, since the S&P 500 hit its October 2007 peak of 1565, it has produced a total return of approximately 60%. The market gains are three times the increase in the growth of the U.S. economy itself (GDP); they are also three times the increase in the growth of corporate earnings. What does [...] Continue Reading...


Bonds Say To Stocks, “We’re Just Not That Into You.”

Five years ago, several European countries (e.g., Portugal, Italy, Greece, etc.) appeared as if they might default on their sovereign debt obligations. Gold prices spiked. The Japanese yen soared. U.S. Treasury bond yields plummeted. And the S&P 500 fell nearly 20% before globally coordinated central bank activity resuscitated investor appetite for U.S stocks. Today, Europe appears [...] Continue Reading...


Why You May Want To Sell Into The Post-Brexit Rally

For the better part of six years, between December of 2008 and December of 2014, the Federal Reserve created hundreds of billions of electronic dollar credits to pump up asset prices (e.g., stocks, bonds, real estate. etc.). Theoretically, the subsequent wealth effect would encourage businesses to invest in their growth, consumers to spend on discretionary items [...] Continue Reading...


Correlation Does Not Imply Causation, But It Does Mean ‘Lower Your Stock Allocation’

If you are fortunate enough to have $750,000 equity in a $1,000,000 home, and a fire ravages the property, what is your number one concern? The protection of the equity. Granted, you might be extremely curious about how the fire started. You may even want to know whether or not there was something you could [...] Continue Reading...


Lower Rates For Longer: Will It Genuinely Benefit Stock Investors?

If the price that one pays for an asset is “fair” or “reasonable,” then one should not doubt having made the transaction. He/she might need to reevaluate whether the current price still reflects a reasonable value at a later date. After all, if a company’s share price has risen dramatically in relation to declining sales [...] Continue Reading...


Zero Rate Hikes In 2016? It Still Won’t Be Enough To Help The Economy Or Stocks

According to the Goldman Sachs Current Activity Indicator (CAI), economic well-being peaked in November of 2014. The erosion from 4.1% down to 1.3% over the last 18 months demonstrates just how vulnerable the U.S. economy currently is. Not surprisingly, economic weakness has taken its toll on stock assets. The S&P 500 has not gained meaningful ground [...] Continue Reading...


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