“The contraction in the first quarter is not reflective of the underlying state of the U.S. economy and the subsequent flow of data points to a significant snap-back in the second quarter,‚ÄĚ explained the chief economist at Regions Financial. Keep in mind, Richard Moody, like the overwhelming majority of economic pundits, projected rising interest rates [...] Continue Reading...
Imagine for a moment that you are not familiar with ticker symbols. Now, let me name seven contenders for your investment dollars — assets that simultaneously diversify your portfolio as well as increase your risk-adjusted performance.
Ticker Symbols (Imagine That You Are Unfamiliar With Them)
Approx YTD %
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY)
Cut to the chase, right? [...] Continue Reading...
Many of the word’s most respected economists projected the direction of interest rates at the start of the year. The average assessment? Experts collectively anticipated that the 10-year Treasury bond yield would rise from 3.03% to 3.41% by the end of 2014.
I didn’t see it.
For one thing, the well-being of real estate in a below-trend [...] Continue Reading...
In the history of the NBA Finals, no team had ever come back from a 3-1 deficit. Miami Heat believers explained that records were meant to be broken. And Lebron James asked, “Why not us?”
To the dismay of some basketball fanatics, the San Antonio Spurs mercifully disposed of their inferior competition in the fifth game. [...] Continue Reading...
Technology was the best performing sector in the five years prior to the 2000-2002 stock market bear. The acceleration of dot-com mania created a boom-to-bust scenario that few had ever seen. Yet “tech” actually weakened before other segments of the economy. What’s more, corporate shares of technology companies witnessed far more violent sell-offs than stock [...] Continue Reading...
Chief market technician at MKM Partners, Jonathan Krinsky, is the latest commentator to add perspective on the trouble with U.S. small-cap stocks. He noted that roughly 80% of large-cap S&P 500 components are currently trading above their long-term trendlines (200-day), while only 40% of small-cap Russell 2000 components are above their 200-day moving averages. According [...] Continue Reading...
Nobody can tell you when a 10% stock market pullback is imminent. That has not stopped many from issuing erroneous prognostications over the last 31 months. By the same token, no individual can predict when a correction will morph into a 20% bearish sell-off. Yet Marc Faber (”Dr. Doom”) has routinely served up enormously frightful [...] Continue Reading...
One of the best web sites for identifying trends in the ETF marketplace is ETFscreen.com. And one of the best features at the data aggregation portal is the Relative Strength Factor (RSf) reporting.
According to ETF Screen, the Relative Strength Factor (RSf) represents a percentile ranking of fund performance relative to all other funds in the [...] Continue Reading...
How impressive is the rotation into energy stock ETFs? Even natural resources-heavy iShares MSCI Canada (EWC) is hitting fresh 52-week highs. Granted, the recent price movement may not make up for years of perennial underachievement. Yet it is hard to dismiss the prospect of a changing of the guard.
Some folks have expressed confidence that the [...] Continue Reading...
According to the¬†chief U.S. market strategist at RBC Capital Markets, Jonathan Golub, seven of the last eight bull markets ended at the onset of a recession. There are several problems with this assertion. First, it represents an ethnocentric “read” that ignores the interconnected nature of the global economy. Slowdowns in the respective economies of China, [...] Continue Reading...