Archive | Energy ETFs

Remember July 2011? The Stock Market’s Advance-Decline (A/D) Line Remembers

According to Bloomberg data, the modest year-to-date increase in the S&P 500 is attributable to health care and retail alone. Worse yet, the two industry segments trade at a 20% premium to the market at large. Paying a premium for growth is one thing. Chasing a handful of momentum stocks is another. Brokerage firm Jones Trading [...] Continue Reading...


Allocation Advice For The Do-It-Yourself Investor

At the tail end of 2014, individual investors as well as financial web site editors asked me for predictions on a variety of assets heading into 2015. I answered as many folks as I could. I suggested that foreign developed stocks via iShares Currency Hedged EAFE (HEFA) or Vanguard Europe Pacific (VEA) would likely outperform U.S. [...] Continue Reading...


When Market Breadth Stinks, Cash Is The Mouthwash

Perma-bulls on the major networks routinely gloss over the reduction in stock market breadth. For example, 60% of the Dow 30 components currently sit below long-term moving averages. When companies like Coca-Cola, Wal-Mart, DuPont, Intel and Verizon are simultaneously suffering from rally fatigue, one might anticipate an eventual breakdown in the gravity-defying direction of popular [...] Continue Reading...


Rate-Sensitive, Energy-Sensitive Sectors Now Down 10%-Plus

Bullish borrowers have increased their margin debt to invest in stocks from $445 billion in January to $507 billion today. And why not? The overall price movement for growth sectors of the stock market remains healthy. Flashy sub-segments like cyber-security and biotech continue to soar. For example, I allocated a small portion of moderately aggressive [...] Continue Reading...


3 Reasons June Gloom Is Already Hitting The Markets

The theme of maintaining a sunny disposition in spite of genuine concerns has always been prevalent in music. Bobby McFerrin told people not to fear cash flow troubles or paying the rent late in his 80’s chart-topper “Don’t Worry, Be Happy.” Similarly, an animated meerkat from 1994’s The Lion King sang about ignoring one’s worries [...] Continue Reading...


An Energy ETF Resurgence Defies The Naysayers

Maybe you do not know who Rex Tillerson is. Maybe you did not realize that Tillerson, a dinosaur in the energy sector, is the chairman and CEO of Exxon Mobil (XOM) – one of the largest corporations on the planet. The company that he runs had been the largest in the world by market capitalization [...] Continue Reading...


Stocks And Long Bonds Know That The Fed’s In A Pickle

Economists should not have been stunned by downward revisions to job creation for January and February. Similarly, analysts should not have been surprised by the painfully weak jobs data for March – information that confirmed the seriousness of the ailing U.S. economy. Some folks are clinging to the hope that the slowdown is attributable to [...] Continue Reading...


Risk Aversion Gains Momentum And Risk Taking Loses It

The case for investing in riskier assets has often been described as a sensible quest for yield and/or capital appreciation in a world with ultra-low interest rates. That helps to explain why the S&P 500 has defied the odds with respect to corrective activity, garnering double-digit percentage gains in 2012, 2013 and 2014. Yet the [...] Continue Reading...


How Long Before “They’re Raising Rates” To “They’re Considering QE4?”

The media are telling us that U.S. stocks have been under pressure this January due to global growth fears and an accompanying rout across the entire commodity space. Yet that only tells a small part of the story. After all, the S&P 500 SPDR Trust (SPY) has performed quite admirably over the past three years, [...] Continue Reading...


Bears Growl At Bonds And Energy… So Buy Both

Over the previous six years, the stock market is not the only thing that has gone up. Total U.S. debt has catapulted from roughly $10.5 trillion – give or take $100 billion – to $18.0 trillion. That’s a 70% increase in the country’s outstanding obligations since the start of 2009. Perhaps ironically, I have spent [...] Continue Reading...


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