There’s been a great deal of discussion about the NASDAQ’s ability to log an 11-year high this past week. What hasn’t been mentioned, however, is that the tech-heavy composite remains 42.5% below its 12-year high. In fact, the composite would need to pole vault 74% from the current 11-year peak to recover the losses incurred from the bursting of [...] Continue Reading...
In 2011, U.S. financial stocks collectively posted the worst performance of the 10 major economic segments. Not only did the SPDR Select Sector Financial Fund (XLF) decline 17%, but the P/E ratio for the sector contracted 22%. In 2012, the skies have been a little brighter for banks, insurers and property developers. The S&P 500 SPDR Trust (SPY) has [...] Continue Reading...
In 2011, S&P 500 profits expanded 15%. And yet, the benchmark’s price finished in the very same place that it started the year. In essence, since prices flat-lined and earnings experienced double-digit growth, a fundamentally inexpensive stock market via the price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) became even cheaper. The most common reason cited for P/E contraction in 2011? The Euro Zone debt crisis. Obviously, sovereign [...] Continue Reading...
Let’s face it. Maybe you weren’t cut out for volatility. And the stock market isn’t about to let you garner remarkable rewards in 2012… at least not without monstrous price swings. Can you turn to U.S. treasuries next year? Even if record-low yields didn’t rise, your return may not even keep up with inflation. It doesn’t look [...] Continue Reading...
Popular emerging markets in the BRIC configuration – Brazil, Russia, India, China – suffered through severe bear markets in 2011. Yet far too many writers attribute the 20%-33% declines to Europe’s sovereign debt crisis alone. It is true that the debt mess sent the U.S. dollar higher at the expense of the ruble, “real,” and the rupee. Contagion containment has also damaged the prospects for emerging market [...] Continue Reading...
On the first day of December, 2011, a number of brand name corporations hit new 52-week highs. Here are a few that caught my eye: McDonalds (MCD), Phillip Morris (PM), Diageo (DEO), Kraft (KFT) and Treehouse Foods (THS). Keep in mind, most of the media attention centers on the discretionary spending of the consumer (e.g., “Black Friday” widescreens, ”Cyber Monday” acquisitions of [...] Continue Reading...
The Greek referendum notwithstanding, most economists and Federal Reserve members have taken note of modest economic improvements. And while the slow-growth, limited-job environ is far from ideal, it should be enough to foster the well-being of many ETF assets. Not convinced? Erratic price swings have shaken the olive out of your martini glass? Then opt for a simpler [...] Continue Reading...
In the 5-year bull market from 10/2002 through 9/2007, large-cap indexes typically carried price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios ranging from 17-18. Perma-bears harped on these “valuations” throughout the period, expressing that major benchmarks had not reverted back to a historical average of 15. With the real estate lending bubble bursting in dramatic fashion, stock assets plummeted 40%. Separately, the P/E price tag for the S&P [...] Continue Reading...
The number “88″ means a lot of different things to different people around the world. For some, it expresses the notion that the universe is both infinitely large and infinitely small. Others see it as a message of eternal love. Meanwhile, Chinese culture recognizes “8″ as its luckiest number, with “88″ symbolizing even greater fortunes. However, 8/8 is a rather dismal date for the [...] Continue Reading...
Euro-zone members have yet to come to a meaningful agreement on how to save weaker countries from sovereign debt defaults. Consequently, Germany has been studying the adverse impact that a default by Greece would have on German banks. Meanwhile, CEOs of French financial institutions can be seen on the talk circuit, claiming that banks in France are well-capitalized and [...] Continue Reading...
