Archive | Industrial ETFs

Great Rotation? Sector Rotation? Ignore Catchphrases When Selecting Your ETFs

There are moments when the media will grab hold of a terrific sound byte and refuse to let go. For example, some blame the recent weakness on yield-oriented assets — investment grade bonds, high yield bonds, convertibles, preferreds, REITs, defensive dividend stocks — on a mythical “Great Rotation.” The popular catchphrase describes a circumstance whereby [...] Continue Reading...


3 “Tweaks” That Will Fortify Your ETF Portfolio

Extraordinary rallies off bear market bottoms are typical. Bullish run-ups in March of 2003 as well as March of 2009 registered enviable unrealized gains of 35% and 65% respectively; each advance experienced little resistance for roughly 9-10 months. Powerful moves off minor corrections are less typical, if not downright suspicious. Investors in the S&P 500 SPDR [...] Continue Reading...


Don’t Blame China For The Sell-Off In U.S. Stock ETFs

For the first time in 2013, investors do not appear to be tripping over themselves to buy every fractional percentage dip. Here on 4/15, the media have blamed the accelerated selling on commodity price depreciation and a disappointing GDP reading (7.7%) out of China. So we’re supposed to believe that a manic Monday where the domestic [...] Continue Reading...


Breakdown ETFs: Go Ahead And Give It To Me

Over the course of the 4-year bull market, I’ve kept an eye on the percentage of S&P 100 stocks that reside above a long-term 200-day trendline. Market pressures always seemed to develop when the level approached 86%-90%. Similarly, when the 50-day moving average for the S&P 100 reached 85%, you could pretty much count on [...] Continue Reading...


Three Trends That Favor Non-Cyclical ETFs In April

Investors may be heartened to discover that the Cyprus bailout is back on track. I am not sure how that will prevent Europeans in Italy and Spain from slowly moving their money out of beleaguered banks, but that is an issue for another day. Right now, broad-based U.S. large cap stocks are trading at record levels [...] Continue Reading...


Bigger Than A New Dow Record… U.S. Stock ETFs “Decouple” From Foreign Stock ETFs

Prior to the 2007-2009 financial meltdown in the U.S., risk-takers thoroughly embraced the idea that emerging markets would regularly trounce the developed economies. At times, this simply meant that emerging market stocks would outperform on the upside. At other times, this referred to the ability of “emergers” to hold on to gains… even if U.S. [...] Continue Reading...


Why An Upcoming Pullback Could Whack Financial ETFs

U.S. stocks (S&P 500) have packed on Olympic-sized gains through the initial eight weeks of 2013. Fed policy uncertainty aside, 6%-plus capital appreciation on low volatility is impressive by any measure. The bulk of the run-up is attributable to industries tied to economic growth and enhancement. Sector ETFs that represent financials, industrials, technology and energy have [...] Continue Reading...


Domestic ETF Risk Taking Vibrant, International ETF Risk Taking Constrained

The S&P 500 has not merely been resilient in its six consecutive weeks of gains. The celebrated U.S. stock benchmark has been unstoppable in its 8.3% unrealized run-up. Granted, nearly everyone expects a period of mild selling activity (a.k.a. “a breather”). Indeed, history certainly suggests that unbridled enthusiasm usually gets a reality check or three. The [...] Continue Reading...


How Different Sector ETFs Are Reacting To Fiscal Cliff Fears

Many of us in the financial services industry expected the outcome of the election to be determined by Ohio alone. Perhaps surprisingly, while Ohio was close throughout the evening, there was never a need for recounting the “Buckeye State” ballots; President Obama had won the electoral votes needed without a single-state showdown. While a protracted battle [...] Continue Reading...


Economically Sensitive Stock ETFs Have Struggled Since The Fed’s Mortgage-Backed Bond Initiative

It may not take much to send the markets down these days. A profit miss by Google. A weak revenue showing by McDonalds. Or perhaps the most detrimental data point of the week: Existing home sales fell 1.7% on a year-over-year basis. With interest rates this low, properties have become increasingly affordable. Yet existing homeowners who [...] Continue Reading...


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