Archive | Latin America ETFs

No Sales, No Profits, No Bull: What Happens When Valuations And Central Banks Collide

Total business sales Рsales by wholesalers, manufacturers and retailers Рhave fallen 5% from their July 2014 peak of $1.365 trillion. At $1.296 trillion for January 2016, total business sales have dropped back to where they were in January of 2013 ($1.293 trillion). In fact, the erosion of total sales by American businesses are even uglier [...] Continue Reading...


Allocation Strategy During The Corporate Debt Hangover

Are corporations in great shape? Three consecutive quarters of declines in earnings suggest that they are not. Worse yet, record high leverage coupled with close-to-record low interest coverage indicate stress within corporate balance sheets. Beginning with the ‚Äúprofit recession,‚ÄĚ it has become fashionable to describe the deterioration as a function of the price collapse in [...] Continue Reading...


Canaries In The Investment Mine Have Stopped Serenading

Eleven months ago, I talked about four classic canaries in the investment mines: (1) commodities, (2) high yield bonds, (3) small-cap stocks, (4) emerging market stocks. I explained that when all four of those canaries stop singing, riskier ETFs usually break down. Indeed, in September of 2014, commodities were tanking, high-yield bonds were plunging, small-cap [...] Continue Reading...


Are The Media Exaggerating The Bull Market?

Notorious bears like Peter Schiff and John Hussman have been warning about the bull market’s inevitable demise for many years. Ignoring their gloom-n-doom predictions has been the better way to go. After all, six years of zero percent interest rate policy by the U.S. Federal Reserve successfully reflated portfolios heavily tilted toward U.S. equities. On [...] Continue Reading...


Choosing Your Domestic and Foreign Stock Allocation

There are times when an important statistic simply does not pack a punch. For instance, the percentage of working-aged individuals employed in the labor force sits at 62.8%. This percentage dwells in a 36-year low cellar. Why is it so troubling? The lack of workers adversely affects middle-class consumption capability – the supposed engine that [...] Continue Reading...


These 5 ETF Charts Are Killing “Risk-On” Exhilaration

Admit it. You are feeling a little bit edgy these days. While you understand that fear is the elixir of investment opportunity, you also recognize that there is little glory for the last person standing on a sinking aircraft carrier. Most in the media have been touting bull market accomplishments, job gains and economic progress. [...] Continue Reading...


Emerging Market ETFs Ascend A Great Wall Of Worry

If the U.S. economy and the global economy were truly in good shape, why is the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) performing so admirably in 2014? If  U.S. economic expansion as well as gross world product were actually succeeding, why is Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (EDV) the envy of capital appreciation seekers? Lastly, if geopolitical tensions [...] Continue Reading...


5 Days of Fearful Trading Provide ETF Insights

Five days cannot tell you much about the future direction of market-based securities or their respective asset classes. They may, however, be able to provide insight into the more pressing issues or lingering worries on the minds of investors. For example, many folks believe that Europe’s sovereign debt crisis effectively ended in 2011 when the [...] Continue Reading...


Emerging Markets Versus U.S. Small Caps: Which Provides Better Reward For The Risk?

Downward revisions to economic growth going forward have little to do with the weather in the first few months of the year. Yet economists are already concluding that gross domestic product (GDP) in the second, third and fourth quarters will be lower than originally anticipated. Similarly, the National Retail Federation (NRF) is blaming the so-called [...] Continue Reading...


Bargain ETFs Are Sitting In Plain View

Last week, at the same time that the Dow had been hitting an all-time high, the Russell 2000 had been crossing below its long-term 200-day trendline. This particular divergence between U.S. large-cap stocks and U.S. small-cap stocks has only occurred on two other occasions over the past four-and-a-half decades — in early 2000 and in [...] Continue Reading...


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