Archive | Natural Resources ETFs

Three December Charts Are Emulating The September-October Swoon

I may expect a few bad trading days. I may even believe that we are likely to see a modest pullback of 3%-4% in U.S. equities before Santa reinvigorates the rally. Nevertheless, a variety of indicators are foreshadowing danger – the same coal mine canaries that preceded the September-October sell-off. For example, high yield corporate bonds [...] Continue Reading...


Are Stocks Really The Only Game In Town?

Contrarians must be thinking about the sustainability of the year-end stock rally after six weeks of remarkable gains. The most recent AAII Investor Sentiment Survey discovered that a whopping 52 percent of respondents were bullish, far surpassing the long-term trend of 39 percent. Meanwhile, nearly $43 billion of inflows poured into U.S. equity ETFs in [...] Continue Reading...


3 Seemingly Crazy ETF Ideas

Japan has now registered two consecutive quarters of economic contraction – a persistent absence of growth that defines most recessions. For worse or for better, the world’s third largest economy will simply commit additional electronic money printing resources to acquire more Japanese stock and bond assets. This activity weakens the yen which, in turn, emboldens [...] Continue Reading...


Are Energy ETFs The Key To A Sustainable Bull Market?

Theoretically, the prospect for investing in riskier assets should be dim. Consider the weakness in real estate – a major component of the U.S. economy. Mortgage application volume recently fell to its lowest level since 1995. Meanwhile, U.S. stocks are expensive on nearly all of the traditional measures. Cyclically-adjusted P/E ratios suggest that stocks may be [...] Continue Reading...


When Will Emerging Market ETFs Join The “Risk-On” Party?

When monetary policy leaders spoke in October, investors listened. Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) member, James Bullard, suggested that his colleagues consider extending the U.S. central bank’s policy of buying bonds. In a similar vein, the European Central Bank (ECB) revived its activity of purchasing assets in its attempt to stimulate the region’s economy. [...] Continue Reading...


Questions For U.S. Stock ETF Bulls

Have you studied the history of stocks in the U.S? Most people are aware of the crash in 1929 as well as the capital depreciation that occurred through 1932. Yet many may not be aware of the government stimulus in 1933 that helped the market soar 200% over the next four years. While the stimulus [...] Continue Reading...


Is The Depreciation Across The Commodity ETF Space Surprising?

What counts for an economy that primarily depends upon its consumers? Family income needs to increase beyond inflation. Otherwise, families find themselves with less purchasing power and, ultimately, those families spend less. Since the U.S. economic recovery effectively began in July of 2009, inflation-adjusted wages have actually dropped 3%. In other words, at least in terms [...] Continue Reading...


Emerging Market ETFs Ascend A Great Wall Of Worry

If the U.S. economy and the global economy were truly in good shape, why is the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) performing so admirably in 2014? If  U.S. economic expansion as well as gross world product were actually succeeding, why is Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury (EDV) the envy of capital appreciation seekers? Lastly, if geopolitical tensions [...] Continue Reading...


The Bears On Gold ETFs Are Wrong

Most of the top 50 economies in the world have engaged in one form or another of monetary stimulus since the start of 2009. Halfway through 2014, most still endeavor to keep interest rates low to encourage borrowing by consumers and businesses; nearly all of those countries or regions also hope to fuel exports with [...] Continue Reading...


Are Precious Metals ETFs Dead In The Creek?

Flash back to the summer of 2011. The U.S. Congress struggled with a decision to raise the debt ceiling. The “PIGS” (i.e., Portugal, Italy, Greece, Spain) had dramatically overspent, endangering the existence of the euro-zone. Stocks cratered. The CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) soared. Meanwhile, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) catapulted 26% in a [...] Continue Reading...


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