Archive | Natural Resources ETFs

Is It Time To Rethink An Allocation To Gold?

Many investors have given up on the idea that gold merits consideration in their portfolios due to years of depreciation in the dollar price of the yellow metal. For one thing, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is still reeling from 35% bear market losses since the heyday of 2011’s euro-zone crisis. Similarly, sharp increases in [...] Continue Reading...


Bull Market, Bear Market or Barely Moving Market?

Perma-bulls may note that the S&P 500 eked out a 0.4% gain in the first quarter of 2015. They may also choose to ignore warning signs such as the 5th consecutive month of decelerating economic activity in the manufacturing segment. The last time that this happened? 2008. A quick check of the individual sectors that make [...] Continue Reading...


Are Transportation Stocks Hinting At A New Recession?

Is a recession around the corner? Some analysts believe the key to that answer resides with transportation companies like Federal Express (FDX), Union Pacific (UNP) and Ryder (R). Specifically, if less and less unfinished goods are being moved to manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers, then one might anticipate sluggish growth, or even economic contraction. How might one [...] Continue Reading...


Three Implications Of “Shifts” In Fed Policy

A large number of stocks in the Dow Jones Industrials Average have moved lower since the¬†Federal Reserve ended its quantitative easing (QE) program in late October. Telecom giants AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ) have toiled. Consumer champs Procter & Gamble (PG) and Coca-Cola (KO) have struggled. Commodity-related kings like Chevron (CVX) and Caterpillar (CAT)? They’ve [...] Continue Reading...


Saving Greece? What ETF Investors Should Really Be Focused On

February has been a terrible month for the U.S. economy, but a wonderful month for U.S. stocks. Translation? Investors do not believe that the Federal Reserve will raise overnight lending rates during an economic slowdown. Just how abysmal have the data been so far? Personal spending, construction spending, factory orders, international trade, business inventories, wholesale inventories, [...] Continue Reading...


ETFs For The Unquestioned “Wall Of Worry”

The crises of yesteryear almost seem quaint. Did investors really need to fret the possibility of the world’s 44th economy (Greece) exiting the euro-zone back in 2011? The stock market ultimately prevailed. Why did the fiscal cliff, sequestration and government shutdown concerns cause so much anxiety in 2012? U.S. stocks eventually powered ahead by roughly [...] Continue Reading...


Three December Charts Are Emulating The September-October Swoon

I may expect a few bad trading days. I may even believe that we are likely to see a modest pullback of 3%-4% in U.S. equities before Santa reinvigorates the rally. Nevertheless, a variety of indicators are foreshadowing danger – the same coal mine canaries that preceded the September-October sell-off. For example, high yield corporate bonds [...] Continue Reading...


Are Stocks Really The Only Game In Town?

Contrarians must be thinking about the sustainability of the year-end stock rally after six weeks of remarkable gains. The most recent AAII Investor Sentiment Survey discovered that a whopping 52 percent of respondents were bullish, far surpassing the long-term trend of 39 percent. Meanwhile, nearly $43 billion of inflows poured into U.S. equity ETFs in [...] Continue Reading...


3 Seemingly Crazy ETF Ideas

Japan has now registered two consecutive quarters of economic contraction – a persistent absence of growth that defines most recessions. For worse or for better, the world’s third largest economy will simply commit additional electronic money printing resources to acquire more Japanese stock and bond assets. This activity weakens the yen which, in turn, emboldens [...] Continue Reading...


Are Energy ETFs The Key To A Sustainable Bull Market?

Theoretically, the prospect for investing in riskier assets should be dim. Consider the weakness in real estate Рa major component of the U.S. economy. Mortgage application volume recently fell to its lowest level since 1995. Meanwhile, U.S. stocks are expensive on nearly all of the traditional measures. Cyclically-adjusted P/E ratios suggest that stocks may be [...] Continue Reading...


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