Archive | Retail ETFs

These 5 ETF Charts Are Killing “Risk-On” Exhilaration

Admit it. You are feeling a little bit edgy these days. While you understand that fear is the elixir of investment opportunity, you also recognize that there is little glory for the last person standing on a sinking aircraft carrier. Most in the media have been touting bull market accomplishments, job gains and economic progress. Writers [...] Continue Reading...


Sector ETFs In 2014 And 2007: The Inconvenient Comparison Feels Like A Bone In The Throat

The S&P 500 has served up a 7%-plus return through the first six-and-a-half months of the year. That’s remarkably impressive when one considers the depth of geopolitical conflict, the implication of structural under-employment, the October end of quantitative easing (QE3) and the strong possibility of a significant change to the legislative branch this November. Naturally, some [...] Continue Reading...


Why U.S. Small Company ETFs Are Losing Their Way

There has been a great deal of talk about the housing recovery. Sales of existing homes steadily rose between mid-2011 and mid-2013 on the back of a weak U.S. dollar and an increase in the money supply. Indeed, Federal Reserve monetary policy had stimulated demand for U.S. stocks as well as U.S. real estate. Yet [...] Continue Reading...


Are Record Levels Of Consumer Credit Dangerous To Your ETF Portfolio?

Technology was the best performing sector in the five years prior to the 2000-2002 stock market bear. The acceleration of dot-com mania created a boom-to-bust scenario that few had ever seen. Yet “tech” actually weakened before other segments of the economy. What’s more, corporate shares of technology companies witnessed far more violent sell-offs than stock [...] Continue Reading...


3 “Risk-Off” Signs For ETF Investors

Committee members of the U.S. Federal Reserve forecast economic growth every year. Not surprisingly, investors place a great deal of faith in those projections. After all, Fed estimates may impact monetary policy. Estimates for each of the last five years turned out to be exceedingly rosy. Time and again, the “recovery” turned out to be sluggish [...] Continue Reading...


Buy “Value ETFs” Here, Buy “Growth ETFs” Over There

Home Depot, Target, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Staples, PetSmart, Sears, Lowe’s, Walmart. What do all of these companies have in common? They sell products to the middle class. Lately, however, these retailers have not been selling a whole of their wares to middle class consumers. ¬†Not only did they reveal disappointing top-line revenue numbers in the [...] Continue Reading...


The Great ETF Rotation Is Accelerating

Back on April 9, I talked about a “Great Rotation” away from momentum plays (e.g., biotech, Internet, small-cap growth, etc.). Where did the smart money go? Demand had been picking up for the least popular asset classes from 2013, including long-dated treasuries, select emerging markets as well as commodities. Five trading weeks have passed since I [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Moves You Can Make Before The Crowd Gets Restless

Nobody can tell you when a 10% stock market pullback is imminent. That has not stopped many from issuing erroneous prognostications over the last 31 months. By the same token, no individual can predict when a correction will morph into a 20% bearish sell-off. Yet Marc Faber (”Dr. Doom”) has routinely served up enormously frightful [...] Continue Reading...


Great Rotation? ETFs Encounter A Different Kind Of Shift In 2014

Whatever happened to the “Great Rotation?” You remember the predictive theory that ultra-low yields would encourage investors to rotate out of bonds and into stocks. The notion picked up steam shortly after the Federal Reserve announced its intention to taper its quantitative easing (QE) program in May of 2013. Yield-sensitive assets of all stripes — [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Investors React With Caution To A Weakening Consumer

Last week, board members of the Federal Reserve signaled that they may begin hiking overnight lending rates as early as 2015.  A majority of analysts believe that the message is in line with an anticipated acceleration of U.S. economic growth and a more robust expansion. Similarly, economists polled by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) [...] Continue Reading...


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