Archive | Retail ETFs

Great Rotation? ETFs Encounter A Different Kind Of Shift In 2014

Whatever happened to the “Great Rotation?” You remember the predictive theory that ultra-low yields would encourage investors to rotate out of bonds and into stocks. The notion picked up steam shortly after the Federal Reserve announced its intention to taper its quantitative easing (QE) program in May of 2013. Yield-sensitive assets of all stripes — [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Investors React With Caution To A Weakening Consumer

Last week, board members of the Federal Reserve signaled that they may begin hiking overnight lending rates as early as 2015.  A majority of analysts believe that the message is in line with an anticipated acceleration of U.S. economic growth and a more robust expansion. Similarly, economists polled by the National Association for Business Economics (NABE) [...] Continue Reading...


U.S. Stock ETFs Completely Decouple From U.S. Economic Concerns

Can we really attribute all of the horrendously weak economic data to icy pavements and polar vortexes? The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) services sector report for February recorded its weakest data point in four years (51.6), posting a percentage decline that is the second worst ever. In the same report, a sub-index on jobs [...] Continue Reading...


Diversification Across ETF Asset Classes Reclaims Its Mojo

Glum economic data derailed U.S. stocks in January. A mammoth “miss” for manufacturing activity, an unsettling decline in mortgage applications as well as an appalling “net-new-jobs” number were some of the high-profile culprits. At long last, it seemed as if the market might treat bad news as a reason to recoil. Here in February, though, disappointing [...] Continue Reading...


Are Consumer ETFs Going The Way Of The VCR?

One of the most commonly cited facts about the U.S. economy is that consumers represent two-thirds or more of GDP growth. Put another way, if Americans are spending, the economy expands. If we rein in our consumption, however, the economy expands at a slower pace and/or contracts. On Thursday (1/30), newswires trumpeted that GDP expanded at [...] Continue Reading...


Why The Rich ETFs Keep Getting Richer

One of the defining debates of our time is what to do about income disparity. Nobody disputes that the wealthy have become much wealthier, particularly over the last five years. At the same time, the poor have become impoverished (e.g., 50 million on food stamps, etc.); meanwhile, middle class families are barely treading water. Yet [...] Continue Reading...


Sector ETF Reaction to Budget Impasse

It has been five trading days since “no-taper” euphoria has passed. In that time, U.S. stock assets have been falling, though the declines have been modest. Most investors continue to believe that a last-minute deal will be struck and that a bearish retreat like the 2011 correction is improbable. Nevertheless, different economic sectors appear to be [...] Continue Reading...


Stocks ETFs Dependent On Consumer Spending May Be In Trouble

According to Gallup, consumer spending dropped 15% from mid-August and it has been flat since the Federal Reserve’s tapering talk in May. Casual dining expenditures declined 3.5% in July as well as 2.0% in June. Meanwhile, Warren Buffett has been rapidly exiting stocks that are tied to consumer purchasing activity. Many market watchers recognize that there [...] Continue Reading...


The Rich ETFs Get Richer, The Poor ETFs Get Poorer

The best performing exchange-traded stock funds over the last three months are essentially the same ones that outperformed over the last six months and over one year. The worst performers were consistently weak over all three time periods as well. Simply stated, the rich ETFs are getting richer, while the poor ETFs are becoming impoverished. Consider [...] Continue Reading...


Why You Should Ratchet Down Your Risk in Consumer-Oriented ETFs

Bartenders, waiters and other service staff in hospitality and retail comprised more than half of the 162,000 jobs created in July. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revised job growth for the previous two months lower. Meanwhile, one of the premier measures of employment trends, the labor force participation rate, hovers near 35-year lows. Job growth [...] Continue Reading...


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