Archive | Retail ETFs

How To Play It Safe With Stock ETFs

Transportation bellwether United Parcel Service (UPS) reduced its full-year profit forecast due to a weak economy. Fast food giant Yum Brands (YUM) experienced declines in earnings as well as revenue. Meanwhile, financial behemoth J.P. Morgan (JPM) managed to cover up waning revenue from mortgages and trading with sleight-of-hand accounting. Yet some folks in the financial [...] Continue Reading...


Choose ETFs With Relative Strength As Well As Defensive Attributes

The U.S. economy’s modest growth is attributable to the real estate market, corporate debt restructuring and big ticket consumption like auto. All of these areas are extremely rate sensitive. It follows that, with the Federal Reserve “taper talking” 10-year yields higher by 100 basis points (1%), the U.S. economy should slow in the coming months. [...] Continue Reading...


The Continuing Case For Defensive Equity ETFs

Has anyone given consideration to just how remarkably poor 1.8% GDP in the 1st quarter really is? In spite of unprecedented levels of monetary stimulus — emergency levels of quantitative easing that have been increased on a regular basis since 2009, rather than tapered — the U.S. economy continues to slow every year. Not surprisingly, the [...] Continue Reading...


Great Rotation? Sector Rotation? Ignore Catchphrases When Selecting Your ETFs

There are moments when the media will grab hold of a terrific sound byte and refuse to let go. For example, some blame the recent weakness on yield-oriented assets — investment grade bonds, high yield bonds, convertibles, preferreds, REITs, defensive dividend stocks — on a mythical “Great Rotation.” The popular catchphrase describes a circumstance whereby [...] Continue Reading...


Why “Dr. Doom” Is Buying Stocks (Why I Will Wait On Stock ETFs)

One of the most prominent names in perma-bear predicting, Nouriel Roubini, just advised that you buy stocks for a period of about 2 years. At that time, the professor expects a global economic depression to rock the world markets. There’s a great deal of irony in hearing “Dr. Doom” discuss riding a stock wave higher through [...] Continue Reading...


Three Trends That Favor Non-Cyclical ETFs In April

Investors may be heartened to discover that the Cyprus bailout is back on track. I am not sure how that will prevent Europeans in Italy and Spain from slowly moving their money out of beleaguered banks, but that is an issue for another day. Right now, broad-based U.S. large cap stocks are trading at record levels [...] Continue Reading...


Will The Worst Sentiment Reading Since 12/2011 Rattle Consumer ETFs?

What does it mean when we learn that consumer sentiment drops to the lowest level since 12/2011? For the bulls, it means that any setback in consumer “feelings” will be offset by the Federal Reserve’s easy money policy; that is, the Fed will not quit its bond-buying, interest rate lowering until exceptional employment prospects spur [...] Continue Reading...


Diminishing “Wealth Effect” Requires ETF Portfolio Changes

In previous years, consumers spent more money when the value of their 401ks and the value of their homes were rising. That goes a long way toward explaining the performance of the third best sub-sector ETF on a rolling 5-year basis. Specifically, SPDR S&P Retail (XRT) annualized at 16.1% over the past 5 years while [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Investors Need To Keep An Eye On These 3 Longer-Term Trends

Daily sentiment can change on a “Susan B. Anthony.” For instance, in the time that Prime Minister Mario Monti has held the reins of control in Italy, global markets have felt better about the prospect of the European Union holding itself together. At the start of Monday’s trading, in fact, stock assets around the world [...] Continue Reading...


ETFs For Potential Increases In Demand For Cars And Cell Phones

Lately, I’ve been fielding a great many questions related to automobile companies. Had I seen the 5-year highs on car purchases? Am I aware that autos were the strongest segment in 2012 retail? And what’s the best ETF for capturing the inevitable growth? In truth, I’m not necessarily convinced that the U.S. auto sector will continue [...] Continue Reading...


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