Archive | Short ETFs

The Day The Commodity ETFs Died

Holy Macaroni! For those who limited themselves to lamenting the 1% Cinco De Mayo losses on the¬†Dow,¬†they missed a stunning beat-down in the commodities universe. It’s not that it was entirely unexpected. Some may have¬†read my commentary one week ago to the day when¬†I offered the following: “That said, traders should begin to consider a near-term possibility [...] Continue Reading...


Is It “Finally” Time to Short Treasury Bond ETFs?

Most world-renowned investors became famous for beating the Street during a bull market.¬†Think Warren Buffett, Bill Miller¬†and Peter Lynch. Yet John Paulson garnered fame (or infamy) as a hedge fund manager who profited from shorting sub-prime mortgages in 2007 and 2008. In¬†2009, John Paulson made a different “call” that has yet to pan out; that is,¬†the [...] Continue Reading...


Hammering the Bank ETFs, Shorting the Financial ETFs

There was a time when “talking heads” explained that the stock markets¬†could not move higher without financial stocks.¬†In the middle of the credit crisis,¬†this was accurate. After all, almost any business in any industry needs access to money for the continuation of¬†month-to-month operations. Today, however, there are several significant differences in the way that businesses have [...] Continue Reading...


The Next Move For S&P 500 ETFs? Track The Mid-Term Volatility ETF!

On Wednesday, 8/11/2010, the S&P 500 fell back below its 200-day moving average. The omnipotent gauge for top U.S. stocks¬†only managed to hold above the level for 6 trading days. Perhaps ironically, this is the second time in the current corrective period that the S&P 500 climbed above its trendline… then fell below it shortly thereafter. [...] Continue Reading...


Leveraged Retail ETFs: Just In Time For A 2nd Half Slowdown?

Corporations continue to post phenomenal earnings. And yet, macro-economic reports¬†continue to register weaker-than-expected numbers. It’s a¬†battle for the soul of the investing public. Do you believe¬†that strength¬†at classic cyclical organizations (e.g., Intel, Alcoa, etc.) will lead to improvement in hiring, consumption and overall GDP? This would likely be bullish for stock assets. Or do you anticipate [...] Continue Reading...


Bull Market ETFs, Bear Market ETFs: A Total Absence Of Conviction

Hedge funds aren’t done buying or selling. And they aren’t particularly interested in making¬†huge bets¬†in this environment… on the long or the short side. So what are hedge funds¬†looking to do if they aren’t trying to make money? Right now, they are far more interested in keeping their powder puffs dry. And that means… they’re still [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Fund Flow: Short Maturity Bonds Asset Gainers, Long Maturity Bonds Asset Losers

Europe’s debt crisis created a short-term windfall for holders of longer-term U.S. Treasuries, particularly holders of iShares 20+Year Treasury (TLT). Yet it’s clear that few believe those price gains will stick. Short-term bond ETFs that track issues on the shorter end of yield curves experienced $500+ million¬†in net new assets for April. Popular funds in this [...] Continue Reading...


Selling Popular ETFs: Where The “Shorts” Are

Is it ironic… or is it just the way things are? The ETFs with the heaviest short interest in 2010 represent some of the same sectors that bearish investors slammed in the 2008 meltdown. For example, selling short the shares of the¬†iShares Dow Jones Real Estate Fund (IYR) was an extremely popular and profitable move in [...] Continue Reading...


Bank ETFs: Why Hasn’t Mr. Market Questioned The Rise?

Has¬†mark-to-market accounting been¬†replaced or overhauled?¬†We all remember the cry for suspension in 2008 and 2009, but if it received an official “fare-thee-well,” I certainly missed it. In a mark-to-market accounting world,¬†the¬†4 bank beasts (i.e., Wells, Citi, JP Morgan and¬†B of A) are collectively insolvent. Those are the findings of¬†Garrett¬†Jones at George Mason University.¬†And yet, the SPDR [...] Continue Reading...


ETF Investors Still Running Away From The U.S.A.

In January, ETF fund flows depicted a number of seemingly incongruous events. Investors liked foreign stocks, but hated U.S. stocks. They distanced themselves from the risks of the financial sector, while they embraced the risks of energy and natural resources industries. Meanwhile, foreign currencies became outcasts, yet most forms of U.S. bonds received billions of new assets. Perhaps [...] Continue Reading...


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