Archive | Special Sectors ETFs

Are M&A ETFs The Logical Choice For The Sharp Decline In Corporate Share Buybacks?

Government debt around the globe is roughly 40% higher than it was just five-and-a-half years ago. In fact, the majority of “top 10″ economies, including the United States, carry untenable debt burdens of more than 100% debt-to-GDP ratios. How dangerous are these circumstances? Well, imagine a family that earns $120,000 per year and carries credit card [...] Continue Reading...


ETFs With Low P/S Ratios May Be The Only Bargains Left

The 30 companies that comprise the Dow Jones Industrials collectively failed to increase sales in 2013. Yet the price of the Dow surged more than 25%. And while that price appreciation for the big-time benchmark may be slowing, the Dow still managed to eclipse 17,000 without generating much in the way of actual revenue growth. Sales [...] Continue Reading...


Susceptibility 101: ETFs That Are Exceptionally Far From Respective Trendlines

Are investors cautiously optimistic? Probably. A little bit greedy? Maybe. Yet I would be hard-pressed to describe the current psychology in terms of euphoria. The most apt descriptor is complacency. Keep in mind, geopolitical tensions are rising in the Middle East, Ukraine and off the coastal waters near China. Not surprisingly, gasoline prices have remained stubbornly [...] Continue Reading...


When The S&P 500 Breaks A Record, Reduce Your ETF Portfolio Risk

In the history of the NBA Finals, no team had ever come back from a 3-1 deficit. Miami Heat believers explained that records were meant to be broken. And Lebron James asked, “Why not us?” To the dismay of some basketball fanatics, the San Antonio Spurs mercifully disposed of their inferior competition in the fifth game. [...] Continue Reading...


Sidestepping The S&P 500 ETF Trap

Upon his passing, Warren Buffett would like a trustee to place 10% of his wife’s money in short-term government bonds and 90% in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund. Buy-n-holders see this as vindication for the idea that lazy asset management is superior to every other approach. After all, who in the world can claim [...] Continue Reading...


Three ETF Investments For Persistent Euro Weakness

One of the key themes that I presented at the start of 2014 was the notion that capital would begin shifting abroad. Attractive valuations compared to U.S. equities, ongoing stimulative measures in Europe as well as “carry trade” funding of higher-yielding assets contributed to several high conviction purchases. Chief among them? iShares MSCI New Zealand (ENZL). [...] Continue Reading...


Managing ETF Portfolio Risk: Be Mindful Of Reversions To Long-Term Averages

The Internet buzzes with predictions for the next bear market. Some use fundamental analysis to make their case. For instance, Shiller’s cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings ratio for U.S. equities (PE 10) employs 10 years of trailing corporate profits. It currently stands at 25.6, while the historical average is roughly 16.5. This suggests that if U.S. large-cap stocks [...] Continue Reading...


Uber and Tech ETFs: Stupid Is As Stupid Does

Economist Hyman Minksy argued that when a private sector accumulates too much debt, an economic system buckles. Supporters of his theories point to the catastrophic effect that sub-prime mortgages had on the 2007-2009 U.S. economy. Detractors simply highlight the 2010-2011 euro-zone crisis. In essence, the excessive borrowing and spending by beleaguered European nations nearly destroyed [...] Continue Reading...


Are Record Levels Of Consumer Credit Dangerous To Your ETF Portfolio?

Technology was the best performing sector in the five years prior to the 2000-2002 stock market bear. The acceleration of dot-com mania created a boom-to-bust scenario that few had ever seen. Yet “tech” actually weakened before other segments of the economy. What’s more, corporate shares of technology companies witnessed far more violent sell-offs than stock [...] Continue Reading...


3 “Risk-Off” Signs For ETF Investors

Committee members of the U.S. Federal Reserve forecast economic growth every year. Not surprisingly, investors place a great deal of faith in those projections. After all, Fed estimates may impact monetary policy. Estimates for each of the last five years turned out to be exceedingly rosy. Time and again, the “recovery” turned out to be sluggish [...] Continue Reading...


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