Archive | US Markets and ETFs

3 Reasons June Gloom Is Already Hitting The Markets

The theme of maintaining a sunny disposition in spite of genuine concerns has always been prevalent in music. Bobby McFerrin told people not to fear cash flow troubles or paying the rent late in his 80’s chart-topper “Don’t Worry, Be Happy.” Similarly, an animated meerkat from 1994’s The Lion King sang about ignoring one’s worries [...] Continue Reading...


Are You Betting On The Fed? Allocate According to the ‘Fundamentals’ and ‘Technicals’ Instead

The S&P 500 continues registering highs for the record books. Yet, the benchmark is reaching new peaks with less participation from its constituents. Consider the chart of the Bullish Percentage Index (BPI) for the S&P 500. Typically, a stock market bull is at its healthiest when the majority of companies are moving higher in established uptrends. [...] Continue Reading...


Three Other Ways To Play Defense

The broader stock market (as measured by the NYSE Composite) may be making marginal progress. A 2.5% appreciation in price over the last nine months is mildly positive. Similarly, higher lows are typically indicative of ongoing strength. It would be reasonable, however, to discuss whether the risk of participation is worthy of the potential reward. Retail [...] Continue Reading...


Weakness In Corporate Revenue Is A Bad Sign For ‘Buy-n-Hold’ Investors

There is one thing that has always nagged me during the 2nd longest bull market run in U.S. history. Corporations have roughly the same revenue per share today as they did halfway through 2007. And yet, sales growth per stock share has only recovered to the pre-crisis levels of 2007, whereas the S&P 500’s price [...] Continue Reading...


International Stock ETFs: One Way Or Another

As much as investors might like to believe that the U.S. stock market is still “grinding higher” in 2015, the reality is that it may be grinding to a halt. S&P 500 stocks have been stuck in a 4% trading ranged for the last 10 weeks; they’ve been stuck in a 2% trading range for [...] Continue Reading...


Should You Consider Making Tactical Changes To Your Asset Allocation Mix?

Yesterday, the S&P 500 logged in as the 3rd longest bull market in the benchmark’s history. Yes, yes… bull market’s don’t die of old age. Yet, what about health-restoring corrections of 10%? Shouldn’t they appear more regularly than 45 months (1371 days)? The current period of equanimity now registers as the 3rd longest without a [...] Continue Reading...


Is Waning Enthusiasm For U.S. Dollar-Denominated Assets Temporary?

The U.S. economy is in trouble. After expanding at a modest 2.2% in the 4th quarter, economic growth dimmed to a scant 0.2% in Q1 of 2015. Yet privately, many are acknowledging the likelihood that revisions to first quarter gross domestic product (GDP) will indicate a trend toward contraction. Should investors actually concern themselves with economic [...] Continue Reading...


China’s ‘Slowdown’ May Be Your Opportunity To Buy Low

Chinese leaders already anticipate that the country’s economic expansion in 2015 will be its slowest in 25 years. The gross domestic product (GDP) projection? 7%. Analysts have ridiculed everything about the world’s 2nd largest economy from the nation’s extraordinary debt build-up to the modern-day ghost towns of empty apartment complexes. Ironically, these same critics barely flinch [...] Continue Reading...


The Debt-Driven Expansion Requires Tweaks To Your Portfolio

The U.S. government spent $7.50 trillion above the country’s budget over the last six years to encourage economic growth as well as fulfill pre-existing obligations (e.g., defense/military, agriculture, Medicare/health, Social Security, education, transportation, interest on the federal debt, etc.). Yet the economy still only grew at annualized 2.1% in the period – a growth rate [...] Continue Reading...


How Much Faith In The Fed Is Too Much Faith?

What if the U.S. economy fails to pick back up from its dismal first quarter? Then the U.S. Federal Reserve will push off the frequency and the magnitude of any increases in overnight lending rates. That’s what the U.S. stock market is telling investors, as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ break above record highs. That’s [...] Continue Reading...


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